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Amadense vs America de Pedrinhas Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 2 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Sergipano 2 2024 game between Amadense and America de Pedrinhas finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward America de Pedrinhas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Amadense
15%
Draws
49%
America de Pedrinhas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: America de Pedrinhas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and America de Pedrinhas come out ahead of Amadense on wins alone.
  • Amadense are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Sergipano 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Amadense Clean Sheet 11%
America de Pedrinhas Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amadense America de Pedrinhas
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 13
Draws 3 4
Losses 21 13
Goals Scored 1.03 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.23 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.90 1.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2024 Sergipano 2
America de Pedrinhas vs Amadense
4:1
Sep 15, 2024 Sergipano 2
Amadense vs America de Pedrinhas
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amadense 35 / 100
America de Pedrinhas 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amadense America de Pedrinhas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Amadense scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

America de Pedrinhas has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

America de Pedrinhas's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Amadense VS America de Pedrinhas
0.67 Goals Scored 1.75
1.83 Goals Conceded 1.13
67% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 38%
17% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Amadense

(Home)
12 Oct
Estanciano EC
2 : 1
Amadense
05 Oct
Amadense
0 : 1
CS Maruinense
02 Oct
Botafogo ASF
3 : 0
Amadense
21 Sept
Amadense
3 : 0
Riachao
17 Sept
Amadense
0 : 1
AD Boquinhense
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America de Pedrinhas

(Away)
02 Nov
Desportiva Aracaju
4 : 0
America de Pedrinhas
25 Oct
Independente SE
1 : 1
America de Pedrinhas
18 Oct
America de Pedrinhas
1 : 0
Boca Junior
15 Oct
Olimpico EC
1 : 0
America de Pedrinhas
12 Oct
America de Pedrinhas
0 : 3
Caninde
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SE 8 7 0 1 13:1 21
2 Atletico Central 8 6 0 2 17:7 18
3 Aracaju FC 8 5 0 3 14:10 15
4 CS Maruinense 8 1 1 6 5:13 4
5 Socorro 8 0 1 7 1:19 1
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desportiva Aracaju 8 7 1 0 16:4 22
2 Barra SE 8 6 1 1 19:4 19
3 Santa Cruz SE 8 3 0 5 12:15 9
4 Cotinguiba 8 1 1 6 7:14 4
5 Socorrense 8 1 1 6 1:18 4
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America de Pedrinhas 8 6 0 2 20:9 18
2 Independente SE 8 3 4 1 12:11 13
3 Riachao 8 3 3 2 11:7 12
4 Amadense 8 3 1 4 15:18 10
5 AD Boquinhense 8 0 2 6 5:18 2
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Frei Paulistano 8 6 1 1 21:3 19
2 Boca Junior 8 5 1 2 14:8 16
3 Estanciano EC 8 3 1 4 11:12 10
4 Sete de Junho 8 2 1 5 6:15 7
5 Botafogo ASF 8 1 2 5 3:17 5
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarany SE 8 6 1 1 23:6 19
2 Caninde 8 5 1 2 14:10 16
3 Forca Jovem Aquidaba 8 4 0 4 16:10 12
4 Propria 8 2 3 3 11:14 9
5 Coritiba SE 8 0 1 7 6:30 1
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)