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Amadense vs CS Maruinense

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 3
Amadense Logo

Amadense

0 - 1
FT
CS Maruinense Logo

CS Maruinense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

CS Maruinense in this Sergipano 3 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CS Maruinense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Amadense
15%
Draws
59%
CS Maruinense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CS Maruinense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Amadense average 1.03 goals a game right now, well clear of CS Maruinense's 0.8.
  • Win probability leans CS Maruinense's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Sergipano 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Amadense Clean Sheet 16%
CS Maruinense Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amadense CS Maruinense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 3 5
Losses 21 19
Goals Scored 1.03 0.8
Goals Conceded 2.23 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2025 Sergipano 3
Amadense vs CS Maruinense
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amadense 10 / 100
CS Maruinense 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amadense CS Maruinense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CS Maruinense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CS Maruinense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Amadense found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Amadense went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Amadense VS CS Maruinense
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Amadense

(Home)
12 Oct
Estanciano EC
2 : 1
Amadense
05 Oct
Amadense
0 : 1
CS Maruinense
02 Oct
Botafogo ASF
3 : 0
Amadense
21 Sept
Amadense
3 : 0
Riachao
17 Sept
Amadense
0 : 1
AD Boquinhense
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CS Maruinense

(Away)
01 Nov
Estanciano EC
3 : 0
CS Maruinense
25 Oct
CS Maruinense
0 : 1
Estanciano EC
19 Oct
Propria
0 : 0
CS Maruinense
16 Oct
CS Maruinense
4 : 0
Propria
11 Oct
CS Maruinense
3 : 1
Botafogo ASF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Socorro 6 5 1 0 19:4 16
2 Propria 6 4 2 0 12:3 14
3 Socorrense 6 4 1 1 22:7 13
4 Santa Cruz SE 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
5 Forca Jovem Aquidaba 6 2 0 4 5:8 6
6 Coritiba SE 6 1 0 5 2:20 3
7 Aracaju FC 6 1 0 5 6:21 0
Promotion - Sergipano 3 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Estanciano EC 6 4 2 0 12:4 14
2 Sete de Junho 6 3 3 0 8:1 12
3 CS Maruinense 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
4 Botafogo ASF 6 2 3 1 11:9 9
5 AD Boquinhense 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
6 Amadense 6 1 0 5 4:11 3
7 Riachao 6 0 2 4 2:12 2
Promotion - Sergipano 3 (Play Offs)