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Amagaju vs Gorilla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League 2025/2026
Amagaju Logo

Amagaju

2 - 1
FT
Gorilla Logo

Gorilla

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Amagaju in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Amagaju.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Amagaju
20%
Draws
51%
Gorilla
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gorilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Gorilla have won more games recently than Amagaju.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Amagaju Clean Sheet 68%
Gorilla Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amagaju Gorilla
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 9
Draws 7 8
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 0.59 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Premier League
Amagaju vs Gorilla
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 Premier League
Gorilla vs Amagaju
0:1
Apr 5, 2025 Premier League
Amagaju vs Gorilla
1:0
Oct 25, 2024 Premier League
Gorilla vs Amagaju
3:0
Mar 2, 2024 Premier League
Gorilla vs Amagaju
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amagaju 41 / 100
Gorilla 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amagaju Gorilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amagaju Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gorilla let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Amagaju stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Amagaju's goal record stands at 41% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Amagaju VS Gorilla
0.63 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Amagaju

(Home)
18 Sept
Amagaju
0 : 0
Al Merreikh
12 Sept
Gicumbi
1 : 0
Amagaju
05 Sept
Amagaju
2 : 0
Etoile de L'Est
30 May
Mukura Victory Sports
0 : 0
Amagaju
22 May
Amagaju
0 : 2
Muhanga
Page 1 of 6

Gorilla

(Away)
12 Sept
Gorilla
0 : 1
Etincelles
05 Sept
Kiyovu
0 : 1
Gorilla
31 May
Gorilla
3 : 1
Al Merreikh
26 May
Gorilla
0 : 4
Etincelles
22 May
Etincelles
1 : 6
Gorilla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hilal Omdurman 34 23 6 5 74:25 75
2 APR 34 19 11 4 50:28 68
3 Al Merreikh 34 16 11 7 41:24 59
4 Rayon Sport 34 14 14 6 40:30 56
5 Kiyovu 34 13 14 7 34:21 53
6 Police 34 12 16 6 29:19 52
7 Mukura Victory Sports 34 12 11 11 36:38 47
8 Marines 34 12 9 13 47:43 45
9 Bugesera 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Musanze 34 11 10 13 38:37 43
11 Gorilla 34 10 10 14 31:42 40
12 Gicumbi 34 10 8 16 38:54 38
13 Etincelles 34 7 16 11 32:40 37
14 Kigali FC 34 8 11 15 27:39 35
15 Gasogi United 34 8 11 15 29:44 35
16 Amagaju 34 9 8 17 19:38 35
17 Muhanga 34 8 7 19 25:46 31
18 Rutsiro 34 6 11 17 30:47 29
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)