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Amagaju vs Rayon Sport - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

Rayon Sport in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rayon Sport.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Amagaju
35%
Draws
35%
Rayon Sport
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rayon Sport lately — more wins on the board than Amagaju.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Amagaju taking it.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Amagaju Clean Sheet 68%
Rayon Sport Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amagaju Rayon Sport
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 7 15
Losses 15 3
Goals Scored 0.58 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.48 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Premier League
Amagaju vs Rayon Sport
0:2
Oct 24, 2025 Premier League
Rayon Sport vs Amagaju
1:0
Feb 22, 2025 Premier League
Amagaju vs Rayon Sport
1:1
Aug 23, 2024 Premier League
Rayon Sport vs Amagaju
2:2
Feb 7, 2024 Premier League
Amagaju vs Rayon Sport
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amagaju 51 / 100
Rayon Sport 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amagaju Rayon Sport

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Amagaju went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Amagaju scored in 42% of their last 31 outings.

Rayon Sport's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Amagaju VS Rayon Sport
0.33 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
33% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Amagaju

(Home)
18 Sept
Amagaju
0 : 0
Al Merreikh
12 Sept
Gicumbi
1 : 0
Amagaju
05 Sept
Amagaju
2 : 0
Etoile de L'Est
30 May
Mukura Victory Sports
0 : 0
Amagaju
22 May
Amagaju
0 : 2
Muhanga
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Rayon Sport

(Away)
17 Sept
Rayon Sport
1 : 1
Sunrise
12 Sept
Rayon Sport
0 : 0
Panthere
04 Sept
Panthere
1 : 1
Rayon Sport
27 Aug
Rayon Sport
0 : 1
Police
07 Aug
Rayon Sport
2 : 1
Mahia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hilal Omdurman 34 23 6 5 74:25 75
2 APR 34 19 11 4 50:28 68
3 Al Merreikh 34 16 11 7 41:24 59
4 Rayon Sport 34 14 14 6 40:30 56
5 Kiyovu 34 13 14 7 34:21 53
6 Police 34 12 16 6 29:19 52
7 Mukura Victory Sports 34 12 11 11 36:38 47
8 Marines 34 12 9 13 47:43 45
9 Bugesera 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Musanze 34 11 10 13 38:37 43
11 Gorilla 34 10 10 14 31:42 40
12 Gicumbi 34 10 8 16 38:54 38
13 Etincelles 34 7 16 11 32:40 37
14 Kigali FC 34 8 11 15 27:39 35
15 Gasogi United 34 8 11 15 29:44 35
16 Amagaju 34 9 8 17 19:38 35
17 Muhanga 34 8 7 19 25:46 31
18 Rutsiro 34 6 11 17 30:47 29
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)