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Amanecer vs Ciclon

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2024
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AI Match Summary

Amanecer in this Nacional B 2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Amanecer.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Amanecer
35%
Draws
32%
Ciclon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Amanecer haven't matched Ciclon's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Amanecer a 33% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Nacional B 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Amanecer Clean Sheet 16%
Ciclon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amanecer Ciclon
Matches Played 8 30
Wins 3 10
Draws 2 8
Losses 3 12
Goals Scored 2 1.7
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2024 Copa Simon Bolivar
Ciclon vs Amanecer
2:2
Aug 17, 2024 Copa Simon Bolivar
Amanecer vs Ciclon
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amanecer 48 / 100
Ciclon 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amanecer Ciclon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amanecer Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Amanecer found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (8 games).

Ciclon has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Amanecer stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Amanecer VS Ciclon
2 Goals Scored 0.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Amanecer

(Home)
02 Nov
Amanecer
1 : 5
Petrolero de Yacuiba
06 Oct
Petrolero de Yacuiba
5 : 0
Amanecer
20 Sept
Ciclon
2 : 2
Amanecer
13 Sept
El Tejar
1 : 1
Amanecer
08 Sept
Amanecer
3 : 0
Universitario de Sucre
Page 1 of 2

Ciclon

(Away)
20 Sept
Ciclon
2 : 2
Amanecer
13 Sept
Universitario de Sucre
3 : 1
Ciclon
07 Sept
El Tejar
3 : 3
Ciclon
31 Aug
Ciclon
0 : 2
Universitario de Sucre
25 Aug
Ciclon
1 : 0
El Tejar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CDN Santa Cruz 6 4 1 1 13:6 13
2 Petrolero de Yacuiba 6 3 2 1 9:3 11
3 Stormers SC 6 2 1 3 6:14 7
4 Millonarios 6 1 0 5 6:11 3
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Universitario de Sucre 6 5 0 1 22:7 15
2 Amanecer 6 3 2 1 15:9 11
3 Ciclon 6 1 2 3 8:14 5
4 El Tejar 6 0 2 4 9:24 2
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza Beni 6 4 1 1 12:5 13
2 Tiquipaya 6 4 1 1 10:3 13
3 Deportivo Aleman 6 2 1 3 5:6 7
4 Moto Club 6 0 1 5 7:20 1
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 6 4 0 2 11:5 12
2 Real Potosi 6 3 2 1 13:9 11
3 Fatic 6 2 1 3 9:10 7
4 Universitario de Tarija 6 1 1 4 9:18 4
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oruro Royal 6 4 0 2 15:16 12
2 Real Oruro 6 3 2 1 13:7 11
3 Destroyers 6 1 3 2 9:8 6
4 Rio San Juan 6 0 3 3 8:14 3
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academia del Balompie 6 3 2 1 19:11 11
2 3 de Febrero 6 3 1 2 14:10 10
3 Wilstermann Cooperativas 6 1 5 0 8:7 8
4 Vaca Diez 6 0 2 4 3:16 2
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams