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Amarante FC vs Berco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Amarante FC in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Amarante FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Amarante FC
30%
Draws
23%
Berco
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Amarante FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Amarante FC lately — more wins on the board than Berco.
  • Win probability leans Amarante FC's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Amarante FC here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Amarante FC Clean Sheet 20%
Berco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amarante FC Berco
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 17 7
Draws 9 5
Losses 6 18
Goals Scored 1.38 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Berco vs Amarante FC
1:3
Apr 10, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Amarante FC vs Berco
2:1
Mar 6, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Berco vs Amarante FC
1:1
Dec 12, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Amarante FC vs Berco
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amarante FC 76 / 100
Berco 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amarante FC Berco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amarante FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amarante FC's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Berco has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Amarante FC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Amarante FC VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Amarante FC

(Home)
20 Sept
Ponte da Barca
0 : 2
Amarante FC
13 Sept
Amarante FC
2 : 2
Leiria
06 Sept
Leixoes
3 : 1
Amarante FC
30 Aug
Amarante FC
1 : 0
Benfica B
22 Aug
Vizela
0 : 0
Amarante FC
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Berco

(Away)
08 May
Berco
1 : 3
Amarante FC
01 May
Tirsense
3 : 2
Berco
24 Apr
Berco
1 : 0
SC Vila Real
10 Apr
Amarante FC
2 : 1
Berco
03 Apr
Berco
2 : 2
Tirsense
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