Sport Picks
Amarante FC vs Braga B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Liga 3 2025/2026 Amarante Stadium, Amarante 
Match Events
23'
23'
Costa G.
59'
59'
Matos Joao
60'
60'
Rodrigues D.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Amarante FC in this Liga 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Amarante FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
35%
38%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Braga B
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Amarante FC lately — more wins on the board than Braga B.
- Model gives Braga B a 38% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Amarante FC Clean Sheet 16%
Braga B Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Amarante FC | Braga B |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 11, 2026 Liga 3
Amarante FC vs Braga B
1:0
Oct 5, 2025 Liga 3
Braga B vs Amarante FC
1:0
Jan 12, 2025 Liga 3
Amarante FC vs Braga B
1:1
Sep 29, 2024 Liga 3
Braga B vs Amarante FC
0:0
Jul 24, 2019 Club Friendly
Amarante FC vs Braga B
0:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Amarante FC 23 / 100
Braga B 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Amarante FC Braga B
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Braga B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Amarante FC scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Solid form: Amarante FC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Defensive concern: Braga B conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 1.20 goals.
Scoring Trends
Amarante FC VS Braga B
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Amarante FC
(Home) 20 Sept
Ponte da Barca
0 : 2 Amarante FC
13 Sept
Amarante FC
2 : 2 Leiria
06 Sept
Leixoes
3 : 1 Amarante FC
30 Aug
Amarante FC
1 : 0 Benfica B
22 Aug
Vizela
0 : 0 Amarante FC
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Amarante FC
2 : 2 Leiria
30 Aug
Amarante FC
1 : 0 Benfica B
16 Aug
Amarante FC
0 : 1 Lusitania FC
10 May
Amarante FC
1 : 0 Santarem
26 Apr
Amarante FC
2 : 2 CF Os Belenenses
Page 1 of 3
Braga B
(Away) 13 Sept
Maria de Fonte
0 : 4 Braga B
05 Sept
Braga B
2 : 2 CDC Montalegre
23 Aug
GD Braganca
0 : 0 Braga B
16 Aug
Braga B
2 : 1 Maia Lidador
01 Aug
Penafiel
0 : 2 Braga B
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Maria de Fonte
0 : 4 Braga B
23 Aug
GD Braganca
0 : 0 Braga B
01 Aug
Penafiel
0 : 2 Braga B
25 Jul
Vizela
2 : 3 Braga B
18 Jul
Lusitania FC
0 : 2 Braga B
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20:16 | 29 |
| 2 | Amarante FC | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 19:17 | 29 |
| 3 | Trofense | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 23:15 | 28 |
| 4 | Varzim | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 26:17 | 28 |
| 5 | Paredes | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 22:12 | 27 |
| 6 | Braga B | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 16:17 | 25 |
| 7 | AD Fafe | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 23:21 | 24 |
| 8 | AD Marco 09 | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 15:22 | 19 |
| 9 | Sao Joao de Ver | 18 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 11:26 | 14 |
| 10 | Sanjoanense | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 20:32 | 13 |
Promotion - Liga 3 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 27:16 | 38 |
| 2 | Mafra | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 28:19 | 34 |
| 3 | Academica | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 29:18 | 28 |
| 4 | Santarem | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 15:14 | 25 |
| 5 | Atletico CP | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16:17 | 22 |
| 6 | Lusitano GC | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 19:19 | 22 |
| 7 | Amora | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 19:22 | 21 |
| 8 | Caldas SC | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 17:23 | 21 |
| 9 | 1º Dezembro | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 13:21 | 17 |
| 10 | Covilha | 18 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 10:24 | 14 |
Promotion - Liga 3 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
