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Amarante FC vs Meda

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2018/2019
Amarante FC Logo

Amarante FC

2 - 0
FT
Meda Logo

Meda

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2018/2019 game between Amarante FC and Meda finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Amarante FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Amarante FC
20%
Draws
0%
Meda
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Amarante FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Amarante FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Amarante FC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Amarante FC Clean Sheet 20%
Meda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amarante FC Meda
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 22 0
Draws 8 2
Losses 8 28
Goals Scored 1.58 0.57
Goals Conceded 0.87 3.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Amarante FC vs Meda
2:0
Sep 16, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Meda vs Amarante FC
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amarante FC 85 / 100
Meda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amarante FC Meda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amarante FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amarante FC's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 38 recent games.

Defensive concern: Meda conceded in 100% of 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Meda registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Amarante FC VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Amarante FC

(Home)
20 Sept
Ponte da Barca
0 : 2
Amarante FC
13 Sept
Amarante FC
2 : 2
Leiria
06 Sept
Leixoes
3 : 1
Amarante FC
30 Aug
Amarante FC
1 : 0
Benfica B
22 Aug
Vizela
0 : 0
Amarante FC
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Meda

(Away)
11 Sept
Meda
0 : 6
Beira Mar
27 Sept
Gondomar
7 : 0
Meda
12 May
Coimbroes
4 : 2
Meda
05 May
Meda
1 : 4
U. Madeira
28 Apr
Pedras Rubras
1 : 0
Meda
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Espinho 34 20 9 5 52:20 69
2 Lusitania FC 34 19 12 3 52:27 69
3 Gondomar 34 18 10 6 50:22 64
4 Agueda 34 16 12 6 43:26 60
5 Lusitano FCV 34 17 8 9 59:28 59
6 Sanjoanense 34 15 10 9 44:34 55
7 Amarante FC 34 15 9 10 45:28 54
8 Coimbroes 34 13 10 11 43:39 49
9 Maritimo B 34 12 13 9 53:40 49
10 Paredes 34 13 7 14 42:33 46
11 U. Madeira 34 12 8 14 28:35 44
12 Leca 34 12 7 15 34:41 43
13 Pedras Rubras 34 9 15 10 36:43 42
14 Cinfaes 34 11 8 15 33:40 41
15 Gafanha 34 11 4 19 46:69 37
16 Penalva do Castelo 34 7 7 20 27:66 28
17 FC Cesarense 34 4 13 17 37:55 25
18 Meda 34 0 2 32 21:99 2
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2018/2019 (Play Offs)