Sport Picks

Portugal

Liga 3 Amarante Stadium

Amarante FC

2 - 1

Vitoria Guimaraes B

Our Tip

Match Events

Verdi S.

15'

Almeida F.

43'

Moreno Tavares Cunha M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Amarante FC in this Liga 3 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Amarante FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Amarante FC

Draws

Vitoria Guimaraes B

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Amarante FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Amarante FC have won more games recently than Vitoria Guimaraes B.
Model gives Amarante FC a 90% chance of winning this.
Regular Liga 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%

Amarante FC Clean Sheet 68%

Vitoria Guimaraes B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Amarante FC	Vitoria Guimaraes B
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	17	12
Draws	8	9
Losses	5	9
Goals Scored	1.75	1
Goals Conceded	0.88	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Liga 3

Vitoria Guimaraes B vs Amarante FC

Possession: 55% - 55% Cards: 1 - 3

1:3

Mar 22, 2026 Liga 3

Amarante FC vs Vitoria Guimaraes B

Possession: 59% - 58% Cards: 1 - 2

2:1

Nov 29, 2025 Liga 3

Amarante FC vs Vitoria Guimaraes B

Possession: 49% - 52% Cards: 4 - 1

1:2

Aug 17, 2025 Liga 3

Vitoria Guimaraes B vs Amarante FC

Possession: 47% - 42% Cards: 2 - 1

2:3

Jan 28, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B

Vitoria Guimaraes B vs Amarante FC

Possession: 53% - 44% Cards: 1 - 2

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Amarante FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodrigues D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Ventura

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Vitoria Guimaraes B Compare

Top Goalscorer Verdi S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amarante FC 95 / 100

Vitoria Guimaraes B 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Amarante FC Vitoria Guimaraes B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AMA Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Amarante FC scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Amarante FC has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Vitoria Guimaraes B conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Amarante FC VS Vitoria Guimaraes B

1.75 Goals Scored 1

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25

75% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Amarante FC	14	9	4	1	22:11	31
2	Academica	14	8	4	2	23:13	28
3	CF Os Belenenses	14	7	5	2	25:16	26
4	Mafra	14	5	2	7	17:24	17
5	Vitoria Guimaraes B	14	4	5	5	16:17	17
6	Varzim	14	4	2	8	13:19	14
7	Santarem	14	2	4	8	13:20	10
8	Trofense	14	2	4	8	7:16	10