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Amarynthiakos vs Diagoras FC

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 game between Amarynthiakos and Diagoras FC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Amarynthiakos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Amarynthiakos
6%
Draws
90%
Diagoras FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Diagoras FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Diagoras FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Diagoras FC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Amarynthiakos Clean Sheet 12%
Diagoras FC Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amarynthiakos Diagoras FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 12
Draws 4 11
Losses 22 7
Goals Scored 0.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.13 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Diagoras FC vs Amarynthiakos
3:1
Nov 16, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Amarynthiakos vs Diagoras FC
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amarynthiakos 10 / 100
Diagoras FC 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amarynthiakos Diagoras FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DIA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Amarynthiakos scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Diagoras FC let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Diagoras FC's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Amarynthiakos VS Diagoras FC
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aris Petroupolis22156136:1151
2Nea Artaki22138126:847
3Diagoras FC2298528:1535
4AO Karystou2298522:1235
5Afantou2295825:2432
6Asteras Kaisarianis2295832:2632
7Nea Ionia2294923:2331
8Doxa Vyronas2287732:2131
9Apollon Kalythion2294932:3131
10Kentavros Vrilission22831127:3027
11Amarynthiakos22421620:3614
12Rodos2200220:660