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Amarynthiakos vs Diagoras FC

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2025/2026
Amarynthiakos Logo

Amarynthiakos

1 - 0
FT
Diagoras FC Logo

Diagoras FC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2025/2026 game between Amarynthiakos and Diagoras FC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Amarynthiakos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Amarynthiakos
15%
Draws
85%
Diagoras FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Diagoras FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Diagoras FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Diagoras FC's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Amarynthiakos Clean Sheet 10%
Diagoras FC Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amarynthiakos Diagoras FC
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 5 11
Draws 4 9
Losses 22 8
Goals Scored 0.81 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.58 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Diagoras FC vs Amarynthiakos
3:1
Nov 16, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Amarynthiakos vs Diagoras FC
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amarynthiakos 22 / 100
Diagoras FC 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amarynthiakos Diagoras FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Diagoras FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Diagoras FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Amarynthiakos scored in 58% of their last 31 games.

Diagoras FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Amarynthiakos VS Diagoras FC
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Amarynthiakos

(Home)
08 Apr
Amarynthiakos
0 : 2
Doxa Vyronas
05 Apr
Apollon Kalythion
1 : 0
Amarynthiakos
01 Apr
Amarynthiakos
0 : 2
Kentavros Vrilission
28 Mar
Nea Ionia
1 : 0
Amarynthiakos
01 Mar
Amarynthiakos
0 : 1
Aris Petroupolis
Page 1 of 7

Diagoras FC

(Away)
27 Sept
Diagoras FC
0 : 2
Apollon Smyrnis
08 Apr
Diagoras FC
2 : 2
AO Karystou
05 Apr
Asteras Kaisarianis
4 : 1
Diagoras FC
02 Apr
Diagoras FC
0 : 1
Aris Petroupolis
28 Mar
Diagoras FC
1 : 0
Nea Artaki
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aris Petroupolis 22 15 6 1 36:11 51
2 Nea Artaki 22 13 8 1 26:8 47
3 Diagoras FC 22 9 8 5 28:15 35
4 AO Karystou 22 9 8 5 22:12 35
5 Afantou 22 9 5 8 25:24 32
6 Asteras Kaisarianis 22 9 5 8 32:26 32
7 Nea Ionia 22 9 4 9 23:23 31
8 Doxa Vyronas 22 8 7 7 32:21 31
9 Apollon Kalythion 22 9 4 9 32:31 31
10 Kentavros Vrilission 22 8 3 11 27:30 27
11 Amarynthiakos 22 4 2 16 20:36 14
12 Rodos 22 0 0 22 0:66 0
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2025/2026 (Losers stage)