Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Amarynthiakos vs Nea Ionia

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Amarynthiakos play Nea Ionia in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 5. Nea Ionia are favorites here. Recently, Amarynthiakos averaged 0.81 goals scored and 1.58 conceded. Nea Ionia averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. In past meetings, Amarynthiakos won 0, Nea Ionia won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 28, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Amarynthiakos and 1.38 for Nea Ionia. This points to a Nea Ionia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Amarynthiakos
15%
Draws
66%
Nea Ionia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nea Ionia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

92% / Very High Confidence
  • Amarynthiakos picked up more points recently compared to Nea Ionia.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 61%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Amarynthiakos Clean Sheet 17%
Nea Ionia Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 55%
Second Half Goal 58%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amarynthiakos Nea Ionia
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 5 14
Draws 4 4
Losses 22 12
Goals Scored 0.81 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Nea Ionia vs Amarynthiakos
1:0
Dec 21, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Amarynthiakos vs Nea Ionia
0:1
Oct 5, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Nea Ionia vs Amarynthiakos
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amarynthiakos 21 / 100
Nea Ionia 62 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amarynthiakos Nea Ionia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nea Ionia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Nea Ionia & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +72.7%
9.09
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.2%
3.03
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Amarynthiakos attacking → ← attacking Nea Ionia

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amarynthiakos scored in 58% of their last 31 games.

Nea Ionia let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Amarynthiakos went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Nea Ionia lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

19 Points in last 5 46
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Aris Petroupolis22156136:1151
2Nea Artaki22138126:847
3Diagoras FC2298528:1535
4AO Karystou2298522:1235
5Afantou2295825:2432
6Asteras Kaisarianis2295832:2632
7Nea Ionia2294923:2331
8Doxa Vyronas2287732:2131
9Apollon Kalythion2294932:3131
10Kentavros Vrilission22831127:3027
11Amarynthiakos22421620:3614
12Rodos2200220:660