Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Amasyaspor vs Hopaspor

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Asik T.
Assist: Ergen F.
8' Event
Kolay O.
Assist: Ozbakir B.
27' Event
Yavrucu S.
Assist: Altindas A. E.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 3 2025/2026 game between Amasyaspor and Hopaspor finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Amasyaspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Amasyaspor
11%
Draws
80%
Hopaspor
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Hopaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Hopaspor's 1.25 goals per match outpaces what Amasyaspor have produced (1.13).
  • Hopaspor are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Amasyaspor Clean Sheet 24%
Hopaspor Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amasyaspor Hopaspor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 3. Lig Group 3
Hopaspor vs Amasyaspor
4:1
Dec 12, 2025 3. Lig Group 3
Amasyaspor vs Hopaspor
3:2
Apr 4, 1999 1. Lig
Amasyaspor vs Hopaspor
2:0
Feb 14, 1999 1. Lig
Hopaspor vs Amasyaspor
2:0
Nov 1, 1998 1. Lig
Amasyaspor vs Hopaspor
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Amasyaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Asik T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kolay O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Hopaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Yavrucu S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ondas O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amasyaspor 13 / 100
Hopaspor 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amasyaspor Hopaspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hopaspor has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Amasyaspor found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Amasyaspor has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Amasyaspor VS Hopaspor
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Amasyaspor

(Home)
18 Apr
Pazarspor
1 : 0
Amasyaspor
12 Apr
Amasyaspor
1 : 0
Fatsa Bld.
05 Apr
Hopaspor
4 : 1
Amasyaspor
28 Mar
Amasyaspor
1 : 2
Karadeniz Eregli
24 Mar
Sebat Spor Kulubu
1 : 0
Amasyaspor
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Hopaspor

(Away)
18 Apr
Hopaspor
7 : 3
Bulancakspor
12 Apr
Cayeli SK
3 : 2
Hopaspor
05 Apr
Hopaspor
4 : 1
Amasyaspor
29 Mar
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
3 : 1
Hopaspor
25 Mar
Hopaspor
2 : 1
Zonguldak Komurspor
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sebat Spor Kulubu30207356:2367
252 Orduspor30184868:3058
3Karadeniz Eregli30169544:2957
4Yozgat30176758:2757
5Fatsa Bld.301541140:3249
6Zonguldak Komurspor301371048:3046
7Pazarspor301110929:3143
8Karabuk Idmanyurdu301251332:4741
9Duzcespor301171230:3640
10Tokat Bld Plevnespor301061431:3836
11Orduspor 196730971435:5134
12Amasyaspor30961528:4033
13Hopaspor30951638:5032
14Bulancakspor30851730:6029
15Cayeli SK30591625:4624
16Giresunspor30491721:4321
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)