Sport Picks
Amazonas vs Ferroviaria
Brazil
Serie C Estádio Municipal Carlos Zamith, Manaus 
Match Events
9'
9'
Italo Silva
20'
20'
Raoni
41'
41'
Ze Vitor
AI Match Summary
Ferroviaria in this Serie C matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ferroviaria.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
35%
34%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- Amazonas haven't matched Ferroviaria's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Serie C form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Ferroviaria have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Amazonas Clean Sheet 68%
Ferroviaria Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Amazonas | Ferroviaria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 24, 2026 Serie C
Amazonas vs Ferroviaria
1:2
Aug 8, 2025 Serie B
Ferroviaria vs Amazonas
2:1
Apr 12, 2025 Serie B
Amazonas vs Ferroviaria
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Amazonas Compare
Top Goalscorer Ronaldo
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Ferroviaria Compare
Top Goalscorer Denilson Chaves
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Amazonas 41 / 100
Ferroviaria 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Amazonas Ferroviaria
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Amazonas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recent resilience: Amazonas stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Amazonas scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Ferroviaria let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Amazonas VS Ferroviaria
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Amazonas
(Home) 29 Aug
Amazonas
2 : 2 Ypiranga FC
23 Aug
Brusque
1 : 1 Amazonas
15 Aug
Amazonas
0 : 0 Botafogo PB
09 Aug
Maringa FC
0 : 3 Amazonas
26 Jul
Amazonas
2 : 1 Paysandu PA
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29 Aug
Amazonas
2 : 2 Ypiranga FC
15 Aug
Amazonas
0 : 0 Botafogo PB
26 Jul
Amazonas
2 : 1 Paysandu PA
07 Jul
Amazonas
0 : 2 Itabaiana
13 Jun
Amazonas
1 : 0 Anapolis
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Ferroviaria
(Away) 20 Sept
Ferroviaria
3 : 2 Brusque
13 Sept
Ferroviaria
1 : 0 Paysandu PA
05 Sept
Internacional de Limeira
3 : 3 Ferroviaria
29 Aug
Ferroviaria
1 : 0 Confianca
23 Aug
Ypiranga FC
1 : 0 Ferroviaria
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05 Sept
Internacional de Limeira
3 : 3 Ferroviaria
23 Aug
Ypiranga FC
1 : 0 Ferroviaria
08 Aug
Figueirense
2 : 2 Ferroviaria
12 Jul
Ituano
1 : 3 Ferroviaria
27 Jun
Itabaiana
1 : 0 Ferroviaria
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Botafogo PB | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 28:19 | 33 |
| 2 | Brusque | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 28:22 | 32 |
| 3 | Ferroviaria | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 22:15 | 30 |
| 4 | Maringa FC | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 32:30 | 30 |
| 5 | Floresta EC | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 22:20 | 30 |
| 6 | Internacional de Limeira | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 22:20 | 30 |
| 7 | Paysandu PA | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 26:27 | 29 |
| 8 | Santa Cruz | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 20:15 | 29 |
| 9 | Ypiranga FC | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 27:24 | 29 |
| 10 | Guarani | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 34:24 | 28 |
| 11 | Figueirense | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 19:22 | 28 |
| 12 | Maranhao | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 19:18 | 27 |
| 13 | Amazonas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 21:23 | 26 |
| 14 | SER Caxias do Sul | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 17:16 | 25 |
| 15 | Ituano | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 18:21 | 22 |
| 16 | Volta Redonda | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 13:25 | 21 |
| 17 | Barra FC (Santa Catarina) | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21:21 | 21 |
| 18 | Anapolis | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 17:22 | 19 |
| 19 | Itabaiana | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14:27 | 17 |
| 20 | Confianca | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 11:20 | 13 |
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)
