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Amazonas vs Ferroviaria

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estádio Municipal Carlos Zamith, Manaus
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Italo Silva
20'
Raoni
41'
Ze Vitor

AI Match Summary

Ferroviaria in this Serie C matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ferroviaria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Amazonas
6%
Draws
90%
Ferroviaria
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ferroviaria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Amazonas haven't matched Ferroviaria's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Ferroviaria's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Ferroviaria have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Amazonas Clean Sheet 16%
Ferroviaria Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amazonas Ferroviaria
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 0.63 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.13 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Serie C
Amazonas vs Ferroviaria
1:2
Aug 8, 2025 Serie B
Ferroviaria vs Amazonas
2:1
Apr 12, 2025 Serie B
Amazonas vs Ferroviaria
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Amazonas Compare

Top Goalscorer Ronaldo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Ferroviaria Compare

Top Goalscorer Denilson Chaves
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amazonas 10 / 100
Ferroviaria 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amazonas Ferroviaria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amazonas's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Ferroviaria let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Amazonas went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Amazonas VS Ferroviaria
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Amazonas

(Home)
12 Jul
Internacional de Limeira
1 : 0
Amazonas
07 Jul
Amazonas
0 : 2
Itabaiana
30 Jun
Volta Redonda
3 : 0
Amazonas
21 Jun
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
1 : 1
Amazonas
13 Jun
Amazonas
1 : 0
Anapolis
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Ferroviaria

(Away)
12 Jul
Ituano
1 : 3
Ferroviaria
04 Jul
Ferroviaria
0 : 1
SER Caxias do Sul
27 Jun
Itabaiana
1 : 0
Ferroviaria
21 Jun
Ferroviaria
2 : 0
Internacional de Limeira
15 Jun
Ferroviaria
1 : 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Internacional de Limeira1474317:1425
2Brusque1473420:1524
3Santa Cruz1473415:1024
4Paysandu PA1472522:1923
5Guarani1465325:1423
6Botafogo PB1471619:1522
7Maringa FC1464427:2422
8Ferroviaria1464415:1222
9SER Caxias do Sul1456313:1021
10Floresta EC1455415:1420
11Ituano1454516:1619
12Ypiranga FC1453617:1918
13Volta Redonda1453610:1518
14Amazonas1452713:1917
15Maranhao1445511:1417
16Figueirense1445512:1817
17Itabaiana1444612:1716
18Barra FC (Santa Catarina)1436517:1615
19Confianca143298:1411
20Anapolis142399:189
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)