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Amazonas vs Itacoatiara - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Amazonense Estádio Municipal Carlos Zamith, Manaus
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Marcelo
90' Event
Ezequiel

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Amazonas
35%
Draws
12%
Itacoatiara
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Amazonas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Amazonas lately — more wins on the board than Itacoatiara.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Amazonas taking it.
  • Amazonas have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Amazonas, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Amazonas Clean Sheet 68%
Itacoatiara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amazonas Itacoatiara
Matches Played 50 31
Wins 26 6
Draws 10 6
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 1.58 0.84
Goals Conceded 0.86 2.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2026 Amazonense
Amazonas vs Itacoatiara
0:0
Feb 4, 2026 Amazonense
Amazonas vs Itacoatiara
2:0
Mar 6, 2022 Amazonense
Amazonas vs Itacoatiara
7:0
Mar 28, 2021 Amazonense
Itacoatiara vs Amazonas
0:3
Mar 20, 2021 Amazonense
Itacoatiara vs Amazonas
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Amazonas Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcelo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ezequiel
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Itacoatiara Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amazonas 86 / 100
Itacoatiara 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amazonas Itacoatiara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amazonas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itacoatiara has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Amazonas stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Amazonas found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (50 games).

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Amazonas VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Amazonas

(Home)
29 Aug
Amazonas
2 : 2
Ypiranga FC
23 Aug
Brusque
1 : 1
Amazonas
15 Aug
Amazonas
0 : 0
Botafogo PB
09 Aug
Maringa FC
0 : 3
Amazonas
26 Jul
Amazonas
2 : 1
Paysandu PA
Page 1 of 10

Itacoatiara

(Away)
26 Feb
Manauara
3 : 2
Itacoatiara
21 Feb
Itacoatiara
0 : 1
Parintins
13 Feb
Amazonas
0 : 0
Itacoatiara
04 Feb
Amazonas
2 : 0
Itacoatiara
31 Jan
Itacoatiara
1 : 1
Manauara
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Amazonas -
TBD -
Itacoatiara 1
Manauara 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus) -
TBD -
Princesa do Solimoes 0
Manaus FC 0
Semi-finals
Amazonas 2
Itacoatiara 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
Princesa do Solimoes 0
Final
Amazonas 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 0