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Amazonas vs Itacoatiara

Brazil Brazil

Amazonense Estádio Municipal Carlos Zamith, Manaus
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Marcelo
90' Event
Ezequiel

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Amazonas
20%
Draws
20%
Itacoatiara
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Amazonas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Amazonas lately — more wins on the board than Itacoatiara.
  • 60% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Amazonas have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Amazonas, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Amazonas Clean Sheet 68%
Itacoatiara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amazonas Itacoatiara
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.32 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.03 2.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2026 Amazonense
Amazonas vs Itacoatiara
0:0
Feb 4, 2026 Amazonense
Amazonas vs Itacoatiara
2:0
Mar 6, 2022 Amazonense
Amazonas vs Itacoatiara
7:0
Mar 28, 2021 Amazonense
Itacoatiara vs Amazonas
0:3
Mar 20, 2021 Amazonense
Itacoatiara vs Amazonas
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Amazonas Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcelo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ezequiel
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Itacoatiara Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amazonas 41 / 100
Itacoatiara 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amazonas Itacoatiara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AMA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itacoatiara has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Amazonas's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Difficult form: Itacoatiara registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Amazonas VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Amazonas

(Home)
09 Aug
Maringa FC
0 : 3
Amazonas
26 Jul
Amazonas
2 : 1
Paysandu PA
12 Jul
Internacional de Limeira
1 : 0
Amazonas
07 Jul
Amazonas
0 : 2
Itabaiana
30 Jun
Volta Redonda
3 : 0
Amazonas
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Itacoatiara

(Away)
26 Feb
Manauara
3 : 2
Itacoatiara
21 Feb
Itacoatiara
0 : 1
Parintins
13 Feb
Amazonas
0 : 0
Itacoatiara
04 Feb
Amazonas
2 : 0
Itacoatiara
31 Jan
Itacoatiara
1 : 1
Manauara
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Amazonas -
TBD -
Itacoatiara 1
Manauara 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus) -
TBD -
Princesa do Solimoes 0
Manaus FC 0
Semi-finals
Amazonas 2
Itacoatiara 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
Princesa do Solimoes 0
Final
Amazonas 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 0