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Amazonas vs Maranhao

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estádio Municipal Carlos Zamith, Manaus
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Jimenez J.
14'
Railson
28'
Rosivan

AI Match Summary

The Serie C game between Amazonas and Maranhao finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Amazonas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Amazonas
44%
Draws
20%
Maranhao
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Amazonas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Serie C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Amazonas Clean Sheet 18%
Maranhao Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amazonas Maranhao
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 0.63 0.5
Goals Conceded 2.13 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Serie C
Amazonas vs Maranhao
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Amazonas Compare

Top Goalscorer Schiappacasse N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gabriel Cipriano
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Maranhao Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amazonas 36 / 100
Maranhao 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amazonas Maranhao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amazonas's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Maranhao conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Amazonas has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Amazonas VS Maranhao
0.63 Goals Scored 0.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Amazonas

(Home)
26 Jul
Amazonas
2 : 1
Paysandu PA
12 Jul
Internacional de Limeira
1 : 0
Amazonas
07 Jul
Amazonas
0 : 2
Itabaiana
30 Jun
Volta Redonda
3 : 0
Amazonas
21 Jun
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
1 : 1
Amazonas
Page 1 of 6

Maranhao

(Away)
25 Jul
Ferroviaria
0 : 0
Maranhao
12 Jul
Maranhao
2 : 1
Ypiranga FC
04 Jul
Maranhao
0 : 1
Internacional de Limeira
28 Jun
Ituano
0 : 0
Maranhao
21 Jun
Maranhao
0 : 1
Paysandu PA
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brusque1583421:1527
2Guarani1575328:1526
3Botafogo PB1581621:1625
4Internacional de Limeira1574418:1725
5Santa Cruz1573515:1124
6Paysandu PA1572623:2123
7Maringa FC1565428:2523
8Ferroviaria1565415:1223
9Ypiranga FC1563618:1921
10SER Caxias do Sul1556414:1221
11Floresta EC1556416:1521
12Amazonas1562715:2020
13Figueirense1555513:1820
14Ituano1554616:1719
15Volta Redonda1553711:1918
16Maranhao1546511:1418
17Itabaiana1545613:1817
18Barra FC (Santa Catarina)1536617:1715
19Anapolis1533913:1912
20Confianca153399:1512
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)