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Amazonas vs SE Juventude - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie D 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Italo Carvalho
23' Event
Rodriguinho
90'
Tavares M.

AI Match Summary

Amazonas in this Serie D 2022 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Amazonas
35%
Draws
23%
SE Juventude
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Amazonas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Amazonas have won more games recently than SE Juventude.
  • Amazonas are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Amazonas have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Amazonas, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Amazonas Clean Sheet 68%
SE Juventude Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amazonas SE Juventude
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 9 8
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.13 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2022 Serie D
Amazonas vs SE Juventude
2:1
Jul 23, 2022 Serie D
SE Juventude vs Amazonas
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Amazonas Compare

Top Goalscorer Italo Carvalho
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

SE Juventude Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amazonas 59 / 100
SE Juventude 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amazonas SE Juventude

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amazonas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amazonas went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

SE Juventude has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Amazonas found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Amazonas VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Amazonas

(Home)
29 Aug
Amazonas
2 : 2
Ypiranga FC
23 Aug
Brusque
1 : 1
Amazonas
15 Aug
Amazonas
0 : 0
Botafogo PB
09 Aug
Maringa FC
0 : 3
Amazonas
26 Jul
Amazonas
2 : 1
Paysandu PA
Page 1 of 7

SE Juventude

(Away)
31 Jul
Amazonas
2 : 1
SE Juventude
23 Jul
SE Juventude
0 : 0
Amazonas
17 Jul
Fluminense-PI
1 : 2
SE Juventude
09 Jul
SE Juventude
2 : 2
Tuna Luso
02 Jul
SE Juventude
0 : 1
Moto Club
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Brasiliense 2
Nova Venecia 4
Aimore 1
Portuguesa RJ 2
Amazonas 2
SE Juventude 1
Lagarto 3
Sousa 1
ASA 4
Afogados da Ingazeira 1
Rio Branco AC 2
Pacajus 1
Pouso Alegre 2
Operario VG 0
Parana 1
FC Cascavel 0
Tocantinopolis 6
Sao Raimundo AM 3
Retro 1
Santa Cruz 2
Sao Bernardo 3
Azuriz 1
Bahia de Feira 2
Costa Rica 1
SER Caxias do Sul 3
Osasco Sporting 2
Anapolis 5
Real Noroeste 6
Moto Club 2
Sao Raimundo RR 1
America RN 1
Jacuipense 0
1/8-finals
Nova Venecia 3
Portuguesa RJ 4
Amazonas 3
Lagarto 2
ASA 1
Rio Branco AC 0
Pouso Alegre 2
Parana 1
Tocantinopolis 1
Santa Cruz 0
Sao Bernardo 2
Bahia de Feira 1
SER Caxias do Sul 2
Real Noroeste 1
Moto Club 1
America RN 3
Quarter-finals
Portuguesa RJ 3
Amazonas 4
ASA 0
Pouso Alegre 3
Tocantinopolis 0
Sao Bernardo 5
SER Caxias do Sul 2
America RN 3
Semi-finals
Amazonas 0
Pouso Alegre 2
Sao Bernardo 0
America RN 3
Final
Pouso Alegre 1
America RN 2