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Amazonia IFC vs Fonte Nova

Brazil Brazil

Paraense B1 2024
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Paraense B1 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Amazonia IFC
35%
Draws
32%
Fonte Nova
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Fonte Nova haven't matched Amazonia IFC's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Paraense B1 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Amazonia IFC have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Amazonia IFC Clean Sheet 20%
Fonte Nova Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amazonia IFC Fonte Nova
Matches Played 29 11
Wins 12 3
Draws 9 3
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 1.24 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2024 Paraense A2
Fonte Nova vs Amazonia IFC
0:2
Oct 31, 2024 Paraense A2
Amazonia IFC vs Fonte Nova
1:1
Jun 12, 2024 Paraense A3
Fonte Nova vs Amazonia IFC
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amazonia IFC 31 / 100
Fonte Nova 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amazonia IFC Fonte Nova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amazonia IFC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Amazonia IFC scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Fonte Nova conceded in 73% of 11 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Amazonia IFC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Amazonia IFC VS Fonte Nova
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Amazonia IFC

(Home)
15 Feb
Remo
1 : 1
Amazonia IFC
12 Feb
Amazonia IFC
2 : 2
Santa Rosa
09 Feb
Amazonia IFC
0 : 3
Capitao Poco
04 Feb
Cameta
3 : 1
Amazonia IFC
01 Feb
Sao Raimundo PA
2 : 2
Amazonia IFC
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Fonte Nova

(Away)
13 Nov
Fonte Nova
1 : 1
Uniao Paraense
09 Nov
Izabelense
5 : 0
Fonte Nova
05 Nov
Fonte Nova
0 : 2
Amazonia IFC
31 Oct
Amazonia IFC
1 : 1
Fonte Nova
28 Oct
Fonte Nova
1 : 1
Izabelense
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paragominas 6 3 2 1 11:4 11
2 Capitao Poco 6 3 1 2 6:5 10
3 Pinheirense 6 2 3 1 6:6 9
4 Santos PA 6 0 2 4 1:9 2
Promotion - Paraense B1 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Izabelense 6 3 3 0 9:2 12
2 Amazonia IFC 6 2 2 2 5:4 8
3 Fonte Nova 6 1 3 2 5:10 6
4 Uniao Paraense 6 0 4 2 3:6 4
Promotion - Paraense B1 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Raimundo PA 4 3 1 0 10:1 10
2 ESMAC 4 1 2 1 4:6 5
3 CA Vila Rica 4 0 1 3 2:9 1
Promotion - Paraense B1 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente 4 2 0 2 5:6 6
2 Carajas 4 1 2 1 7:6 5
3 Itupiranga 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
Promotion - Paraense B1 2024 (Play Offs)