Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Amazonia IFC vs Tuna Luso

Brazil Brazil

Paraense Estádio Municipal Colosso do Tapajós, Santarem
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Arthur
27' Event
Soares dos Santos A.
90'
Kaue

AI Match Summary

The Paraense game between Amazonia IFC and Tuna Luso finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Amazonia IFC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Amazonia IFC
35%
Draws
41%
Tuna Luso
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tuna Luso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Amazonia IFC haven't matched Tuna Luso's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Amazonia IFC's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Paraense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Amazonia IFC Clean Sheet 16%
Tuna Luso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amazonia IFC Tuna Luso
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 9 5
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.25 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2026 Paraense
Amazonia IFC vs Tuna Luso
1:0
Feb 6, 2022 Paraense
Amazonia IFC vs Tuna Luso
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Amazonia IFC Compare

Top Goalscorer Soares dos Santos A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Tuna Luso Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amazonia IFC 36 / 100
Tuna Luso 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amazonia IFC Tuna Luso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Amazonia IFC scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Tuna Luso has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Amazonia IFC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Amazonia IFC VS Tuna Luso
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Amazonia IFC

(Home)
15 Feb
Remo
1 : 1
Amazonia IFC
12 Feb
Amazonia IFC
2 : 2
Santa Rosa
09 Feb
Amazonia IFC
0 : 3
Capitao Poco
04 Feb
Cameta
3 : 1
Amazonia IFC
01 Feb
Sao Raimundo PA
2 : 2
Amazonia IFC
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Tuna Luso

(Away)
27 Jun
Iguatu
1 : 1
Tuna Luso
21 Jun
Tuna Luso
1 : 2
Iguatu
06 Jun
Imperatriz
4 : 0
Tuna Luso
31 May
Tuna Luso
1 : 0
Trem
24 May
Oratorio
3 : 3
Tuna Luso
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameta 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
2 Capitao Poco 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
3 Paysandu PA 6 3 1 2 6:4 10
4 Aguia De Maraba 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
5 Remo 6 2 4 0 9:5 10
6 Tuna Luso 6 3 0 3 3:5 9
7 Castanhal 6 2 2 2 4:5 8
8 Santa Rosa 6 2 1 3 4:7 7
9 Sao Raimundo PA 6 1 3 2 6:8 6
10 Amazonia IFC 6 1 3 2 7:11 6
11 Bragantino PA 6 1 2 3 6:7 5
12 Sao Francisco 6 1 2 3 4:5 5
Promotion - Paraense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 2027 (Main)