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Amberg vs Erlangen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Nord 2017/2018 game between Amberg and Erlangen finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Erlangen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Amberg
15%
Draws
85%
Erlangen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Erlangen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Erlangen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Oberliga Bayern Nord 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Amberg Clean Sheet 20%
Erlangen Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amberg Erlangen
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 10
Draws 3 4
Losses 23 17
Goals Scored 1.17 1.48
Goals Conceded 2.97 2.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2018 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Amberg vs Erlangen
1:4
Sep 2, 2017 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Erlangen vs Amberg
3:2
Mar 8, 2015 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Erlangen vs Amberg
0:1
Aug 2, 2014 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Amberg vs Erlangen
3:0
May 24, 2014 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Erlangen vs Amberg
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amberg 32 / 100
Erlangen 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amberg Erlangen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Erlangen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Erlangen let in goals in 94% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Amberg scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Erlangen lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Erlangen
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Amberg

(Home)
18 May
Amberg
1 : 7
Jahn Forchheim
12 May
Gebenbach
5 : 2
Amberg
05 May
Ansbach
4 : 1
Amberg
28 Apr
Amberg
0 : 1
Weiden
25 Apr
Amberg
2 : 3
1. FC Schweinfurt II
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Erlangen

(Away)
02 Jul
Erlangen
1 : 1
Ansbach
14 Feb
Stadeln
1 : 3
Erlangen
17 Feb
Ansbach
5 : 1
Erlangen
25 Jan
Furth II
6 : 0
Erlangen
21 Aug
Eltersdorf
3 : 0
Erlangen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aschaffenburg 34 26 4 4 91:29 82
2 TSV Aubstadt 34 22 4 8 71:33 70
3 Wurzburger FV 34 19 10 5 71:36 67
4 Eltersdorf 34 17 13 4 65:44 64
5 Gebenbach 34 20 4 10 76:51 64
6 Jahn Forchheim 34 16 6 12 78:67 54
7 Ansbach 34 15 8 11 74:61 53
8 Grossbardorf 34 14 9 11 51:47 51
9 Erlangen 34 12 8 14 53:75 44
10 Bayern Hof 34 12 7 15 61:59 43
11 Wurzburger Kickers II 34 11 9 14 47:49 42
12 DJK Ammerthal 34 11 8 15 65:67 41
13 DJK Don Bosco Bamberg 34 11 7 16 44:50 40
14 Weiden 34 11 7 16 51:77 40
15 1. FC Sand 34 7 9 18 39:57 30
16 1. FC Schweinfurt II 34 7 9 18 33:54 30
17 Erlenbach 34 6 5 23 43:94 23
18 Amberg 34 4 3 27 37:100 15
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Süd 2017/2018 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Süd 2017/2018 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Süd 2017/2018 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Süd 2017/2018 (Relegation)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2017/2018 (Relegation)