Sport Picks
Ambernath United vs Ara - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
India
I-League 2 2022/2023 
Match Events
45'
45'
Shrestha N.
79'
79'
Mathews J.
AI Match Summary
The I-League 2 2022/2023 game between Ambernath United and Ara finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ambernath United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ambernath United carry the better recent record into this one.
- 59% — that's where the model lands on Ambernath United taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Ambernath United Clean Sheet 20%
Ara Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ambernath United | Ara |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 12 | 12 |
| Wins | 7 | 6 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 2.25 | 1.58 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.42 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 27, 2023 I-League 2
Ara vs Ambernath United
1:2
Mar 25, 2023 I-League 2
Ambernath United vs Ara
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ambernath United Compare
Top Goalscorer Mathews J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Ara Compare
Top Goalscorer Shrestha N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ambernath United 85 / 100
Ara 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ambernath United Ara
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ambernath United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Ambernath United scored in 100% of their last 12 outings.
Ara let in goals in 67% of their last 12 matches.
H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.
Ambernath United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ambernath United VS Ara
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Ambernath United
(Home) 26 May
Delhi FC
3 : 1 Ambernath United
21 May
United SC
4 : 3 Ambernath United
16 May
Ambernath United
5 : 1 Lajong
11 May
Ambernath United
1 : 0 Bengaluru United
27 Apr
Ara
1 : 2 Ambernath United
Page 1 of 3
16 May
Ambernath United
5 : 1 Lajong
11 May
Ambernath United
1 : 0 Bengaluru United
11 Apr
Ambernath United
3 : 1 Dempo
07 Apr
Ambernath United
2 : 0 FC Goa 2
25 Mar
Ambernath United
1 : 1 Ara
Page 1 of 2
Ara
(Away) 03 May
Ara
1 : 1 Mawlai SC
01 May
Sunrise Club
2 : 3 Ara
29 Apr
Sikkim Brotherhood
3 : 2 Ara
27 Apr
Raengdai
3 : 0 Ara
27 Apr
Ara
1 : 2 Ambernath United
Page 1 of 3
01 May
Sunrise Club
2 : 3 Ara
29 Apr
Sikkim Brotherhood
3 : 2 Ara
27 Apr
Raengdai
3 : 0 Ara
20 Apr
FC Goa 2
0 : 3 Ara
16 Apr
Hyderabad 2
0 : 1 Ara
Page 1 of 2
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Delhi FC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 20:5 | 16 |
| 2 | Downtown Heroes | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 14 |
| 3 | Jagat Singh Palahi | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10:9 | 13 |
| 4 | Techtro Swades | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 9:8 | 12 |
| 5 | Mumbai City 2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4:23 | 2 |
Promotion - I-League 2 2022/2023 (Final Group)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | United SC | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:4 | 14 |
| 2 | Lajong | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:3 | 13 |
| 3 | East Bengal 2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:8 | 7 |
| 4 | Diamond Rock | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3:18 | 0 |
Promotion - I-League 2 2022/2023 (Final Group)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bengaluru United | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21:5 | 17 |
| 2 | Golden Threads | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:11 | 12 |
| 3 | Bengaluru FC 2 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:11 | 11 |
| 4 | Chennaiyin FC 2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 7:17 | 9 |
| 5 | RKM | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:15 | 7 |
Promotion - I-League 2 2022/2023 (Final Group)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ambernath United | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:9 | 17 |
| 2 | Ara | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | 17 |
| 3 | Dempo | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 14 |
| 4 | Hyderabad 2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4:10 | 4 |
| 5 | FC Goa 2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4:17 | 4 |
Promotion - I-League 2 2022/2023 (Final Group)
Ranking of third-placed teams
