Sport Picks
Ambrosiana vs Delta Porto Tolle
Italy
Serie D - Group C 2021/2022 
Match Events
7'
7'
Boix J.
17'
17'
Busetto F.
19'
19'
Righetti N.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group C 2021/2022 game between Ambrosiana and Delta Porto Tolle finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ambrosiana.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ambrosiana
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- Ambrosiana carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Ambrosiana Clean Sheet 18%
Delta Porto Tolle Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ambrosiana | Delta Porto Tolle |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.77 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 22, 2022 Serie D - Group C
Ambrosiana vs Delta Porto Tolle
0:1
Apr 10, 2022 Serie D - Group C
Ambrosiana vs Delta Porto Tolle
4:1
Nov 28, 2021 Serie D - Group C
Delta Porto Tolle vs Ambrosiana
0:1
May 23, 2021 Serie D - Group C
Ambrosiana vs Delta Porto Tolle
1:1
Apr 21, 2021 Serie D - Group C
Delta Porto Tolle vs Ambrosiana
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ambrosiana Compare
Top Goalscorer Boix J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Righetti N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09
Delta Porto Tolle Compare
Top Goalscorer Busetto F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ambrosiana 32 / 100
Delta Porto Tolle 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ambrosiana Delta Porto Tolle
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Delta Porto Tolle Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ambrosiana's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Delta Porto Tolle let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Ambrosiana went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ambrosiana VS Delta Porto Tolle
2.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Ambrosiana
(Home) 26 Jul
Mantova
7 : 0 Ambrosiana
22 May
Ambrosiana
0 : 1 Delta Porto Tolle
15 May
Ambrosiana
3 : 2 Luparense FC
08 May
Levico Terme
0 : 1 Ambrosiana
01 May
Ambrosiana
5 : 3 Spinea
Page 1 of 6
22 May
Ambrosiana
0 : 1 Delta Porto Tolle
15 May
Ambrosiana
3 : 2 Luparense FC
01 May
Ambrosiana
5 : 3 Spinea
23 Apr
Ambrosiana
1 : 1 Mestre
10 Apr
Ambrosiana
4 : 1 Delta Porto Tolle
Page 1 of 3
Delta Porto Tolle
(Away) 22 May
Ambrosiana
0 : 1 Delta Porto Tolle
15 May
Delta Porto Tolle
3 : 4 Adriese
08 May
Cjarlins Muzane
0 : 2 Delta Porto Tolle
01 May
Caldiero Terme
1 : 0 Delta Porto Tolle
27 Apr
Delta Porto Tolle
2 : 3 Cartigliano
Page 1 of 7
22 May
Ambrosiana
0 : 1 Delta Porto Tolle
08 May
Cjarlins Muzane
0 : 2 Delta Porto Tolle
01 May
Caldiero Terme
1 : 0 Delta Porto Tolle
24 Apr
Dolomiti Bellunesi
1 : 2 Delta Porto Tolle
10 Apr
Ambrosiana
4 : 1 Delta Porto Tolle
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arzignano | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 74:32 | 73 |
| 2 | Clodiense | 34 | 20 | 12 | 2 | 53:22 | 72 |
| 3 | Adriese | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 61:36 | 66 |
| 4 | Luparense FC | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 60:35 | 58 |
| 5 | Campodarsego | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 48:37 | 56 |
| 6 | Caldiero Terme | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 58:50 | 51 |
| 7 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51:50 | 50 |
| 8 | Montebelluna | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 57:52 | 49 |
| 9 | Mestre | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 36:45 | 46 |
| 10 | Cjarlins Muzane | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 51:43 | 45 |
| 11 | Cartigliano | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 44:40 | 45 |
| 12 | Este | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 31:42 | 43 |
| 13 | Levico Terme | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 31:40 | 42 |
| 14 | Ambrosiana | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 45:52 | 40 |
| 15 | Delta Porto Tolle | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 43:51 | 36 |
| 16 | Spinea | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 27:58 | 25 |
| 17 | Cattolica Calcio | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 20:61 | 23 |
| 18 | San Martino Speme | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 29:73 | 20 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2021/2022 (Play Out)
