Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group C 2021/2022

Ambrosiana

4 - 1

Delta Porto Tolle

Our Tip

Match Events

Boix J.

17'

Busetto F.

19'

Righetti N.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2021/2022 game between Ambrosiana and Delta Porto Tolle finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ambrosiana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Ambrosiana

28%

Draws

22%

Delta Porto Tolle

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Ambrosiana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Ambrosiana carry the better recent record into this one.
Ambrosiana are the model's pick here, at 50%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%

Ambrosiana Clean Sheet 68%

Delta Porto Tolle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ambrosiana	Delta Porto Tolle
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	10	8
Draws	7	6
Losses	13	16
Goals Scored	2.38	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.88	1.88
Expected Goals (xG)	2.38	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2022 Serie D - Group C

Ambrosiana vs Delta Porto Tolle

Possession: 45% - 56% Cards: 1 - 2

0:1

Apr 10, 2022 Serie D - Group C

Ambrosiana vs Delta Porto Tolle

Possession: 56% - 56% Cards: 1 - 3

4:1

Nov 28, 2021 Serie D - Group C

Delta Porto Tolle vs Ambrosiana

Possession: 42% - 59% Cards: 3 - 3

0:1

May 23, 2021 Serie D - Group C

Ambrosiana vs Delta Porto Tolle

Possession: 51% - 60% Cards: 0 - 0

1:1

Apr 21, 2021 Serie D - Group C

Delta Porto Tolle vs Ambrosiana

Possession: 54% - 41% Cards: 3 - 3

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ambrosiana Compare

Top Goalscorer Boix J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Righetti N.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.83

Avg xA / game 1.19

Delta Porto Tolle Compare

Top Goalscorer Busetto F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ambrosiana 59 / 100

Delta Porto Tolle 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ambrosiana Delta Porto Tolle

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GSD Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Delta Porto Tolle's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Ambrosiana scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Ambrosiana went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ambrosiana VS Delta Porto Tolle

2.38 Goals Scored 1.13

1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88

100% Over 1.5 75%

88% Over 2.5 75%

50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Arzignano	34	21	10	3	74:32	73
2	Clodiense	34	20	12	2	53:22	72
3	Adriese	34	19	9	6	61:36	66
4	Luparense FC	34	16	10	8	60:35	58
5	Campodarsego	34	15	11	8	48:37	56
6	Caldiero Terme	34	15	6	13	58:50	51
7	Dolomiti Bellunesi	34	14	8	12	51:50	50
8	Montebelluna	34	14	7	13	57:52	49
9	Mestre	34	13	7	14	36:45	46
10	Cjarlins Muzane	34	11	12	11	51:43	45
11	Cartigliano	34	11	12	11	44:40	45
12	Este	34	10	13	11	31:42	43
13	Levico Terme	34	11	9	14	31:40	42
14	Ambrosiana	34	11	7	16	45:52	40
15	Delta Porto Tolle	34	10	6	18	43:51	36
16	Spinea	34	6	7	21	27:58	25
17	Cattolica Calcio	34	6	5	23	20:61	23
18	San Martino Speme	34	5	5	24	29:73	20