Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Amedspor vs Erzurumspor FK

Turkey Turkey

Super Lig Diyarbakir Stadium, Diyarbakır
Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Fernando Andrade
20'
Saba D.
53' Event
Saba D.
Assist: Dellova L.

AI Match Summary

Amedspor in this Super Lig matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Amedspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Amedspor
20%
Draws
33%
Erzurumspor FK
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Amedspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Erzurumspor FK have won more games recently than Amedspor.
  • Model gives Amedspor a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super Lig form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Amedspor Clean Sheet 20%
Erzurumspor FK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amedspor Erzurumspor FK
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 19
Draws 10 6
Losses 3 5
Goals Scored 2.17 2
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Super Lig
Amedspor vs Erzurumspor FK
3:0
Jan 18, 2026 1. Lig
Erzurumspor FK vs Amedspor
2:0
Aug 18, 2025 1. Lig
Amedspor vs Erzurumspor FK
2:2
Mar 16, 2025 1. Lig
Amedspor vs Erzurumspor FK
1:2
Nov 3, 2024 1. Lig
Erzurumspor FK vs Amedspor
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Amedspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Saba D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gul G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Erzurumspor FK Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amedspor 85 / 100
Erzurumspor FK 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amedspor Erzurumspor FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amedspor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amedspor scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Amedspor stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Erzurumspor FK conceded in 50% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Amedspor VS Erzurumspor FK
2.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Amedspor

(Home)
20 Sept
Amedspor
3 : 2
Besiktas
13 Sept
Amedspor
5 : 0
Basaksehir
06 Sept
Kasimpasa
2 : 2
Amedspor
31 Aug
Amedspor
2 : 1
Trabzonspor
24 Aug
Kocaelispor
2 : 0
Amedspor
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Erzurumspor FK

(Away)
20 Sept
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 0
Samsunspor
11 Sept
Besiktas
3 : 0
Erzurumspor FK
05 Sept
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 0
Konyaspor
28 Aug
Genclerbirligi
1 : 1
Erzurumspor FK
21 Aug
Erzurumspor FK
0 : 4
Galatasaray
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Amedspor 6 4 1 1 15:7 13
2 Galatasaray 6 4 1 1 13:10 13
3 Besiktas 6 4 0 2 14:7 12
4 Kocaelispor 6 4 0 2 7:4 12
5 Alanyaspor 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
6 Fenerbahce 6 3 1 2 16:6 10
7 Trabzonspor 6 3 1 2 13:5 10
8 Kasimpasa 6 2 4 0 7:5 10
9 Rizespor 6 3 1 2 7:6 10
10 Gaziantep 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
11 Corum FK 6 2 1 3 13:12 7
12 Basaksehir 6 2 1 3 10:11 7
13 Genclerbirligi 6 2 1 3 5:13 7
14 Erzurumspor FK 6 2 1 3 3:11 7
15 Konyaspor 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
16 Samsunspor 6 1 1 4 6:12 4
17 Goztepe 6 0 3 3 11:15 3
18 Eyupspor 6 1 0 5 2:16 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)