Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ameri Tbilisi vs Gagra 2

Georgia Georgia

Pirveli Liga 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Pirveli Liga 2008/2009 game between Ameri Tbilisi and Gagra 2 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ameri Tbilisi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Ameri Tbilisi
15%
Draws
21%
Gagra 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ameri Tbilisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / Very High Confidence
  • Ameri Tbilisi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Ameri Tbilisi taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Ameri Tbilisi have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Ameri Tbilisi Clean Sheet 20%
Gagra 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ameri Tbilisi Gagra 2
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 19 9
Draws 5 3
Losses 6 19
Goals Scored 2.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2009 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Ameri Tbilisi vs Gagra 2
2:1
Mar 17, 2009 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Gagra 2 vs Ameri Tbilisi
0:2
Oct 30, 2008 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Ameri Tbilisi vs Gagra 2
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ameri Tbilisi 85 / 100
Gagra 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ameri Tbilisi Gagra 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AME Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ameri Tbilisi scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Gagra 2 conceded in 90% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Ameri Tbilisi has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ameri Tbilisi VS Gagra 2
2.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ameri Tbilisi

(Home)
24 May
Chikhura Sachkhere
1 : 0
Ameri Tbilisi
12 May
Hereti
2 : 1
Ameri Tbilisi
05 May
Ameri Tbilisi
2 : 1
Dila Gori
30 Apr
Ameri Tbilisi
3 : 0
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
26 Apr
WIT Georgia 2
0 : 1
Ameri Tbilisi
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Gagra 2

(Away)
26 Jun
Gagra 2
1 : 2
Odishi 1919
20 Jul
Gagra 2
0 : 5
Dinamo Batumi
20 Jun
Gagra 2
2 : 0
WIT Georgia 2
19 May
Gagra 2
0 : 1
Chikhura Sachkhere
12 May
Gagra 2
0 : 2
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
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