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America AM vs Nacional-AM (Manaus)

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Amazonense 2009
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Amazonense 2009 game between America AM and Nacional-AM (Manaus) finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
America AM
28%
Draws
50%
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Nacional-AM (Manaus)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nacional-AM (Manaus) come out ahead of America AM on wins alone.
  • Model gives Nacional-AM (Manaus) a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
America AM Clean Sheet 20%
Nacional-AM (Manaus) Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America AM Nacional-AM (Manaus)
Matches Played 33 49
Wins 7 31
Draws 7 10
Losses 19 8
Goals Scored 0 2
Goals Conceded 0 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2011 Amazonense
Nacional-AM (Manaus) vs America AM
2:0
Mar 5, 2011 Amazonense
America AM vs Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1:0
Apr 1, 2010 Amazonense
America AM vs Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1:2
Jun 28, 2009 Amazonense
Nacional-AM (Manaus) vs America AM
0:3
Jun 25, 2009 Amazonense
America AM vs Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America AM 24 / 100
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America AM Nacional-AM (Manaus)

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

America AM found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (33 games).

Nacional-AM (Manaus)'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 49 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

America AM has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Nacional-AM (Manaus)
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
America AM4
Nacional-AM (Manaus)1