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America de Pedrinhas vs Riachao

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 2 2024
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AI Match Summary

The Sergipano 2 2024 game between America de Pedrinhas and Riachao finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward America de Pedrinhas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
America de Pedrinhas
20%
Draws
16%
Riachao
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: America de Pedrinhas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and America de Pedrinhas come out ahead of Riachao on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans America de Pedrinhas's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Sergipano 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
America de Pedrinhas Clean Sheet 20%
Riachao Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America de Pedrinhas Riachao
Matches Played 30 14
Wins 13 3
Draws 4 5
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.5 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.73
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2024 Sergipano 2
Riachao vs America de Pedrinhas
4:1
Sep 1, 2024 Sergipano 2
America de Pedrinhas vs Riachao
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America de Pedrinhas 58 / 100
Riachao 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America de Pedrinhas Riachao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick America de Pedrinhas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

America de Pedrinhas scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Riachao has conceded goals in 71% of their last 14 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Riachao registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

America de Pedrinhas VS Riachao
1.75 Goals Scored 0.33
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

America de Pedrinhas

(Home)
02 Nov
Desportiva Aracaju
4 : 0
America de Pedrinhas
25 Oct
Independente SE
1 : 1
America de Pedrinhas
18 Oct
America de Pedrinhas
1 : 0
Boca Junior
15 Oct
Olimpico EC
1 : 0
America de Pedrinhas
12 Oct
America de Pedrinhas
0 : 3
Caninde
Page 1 of 6

Riachao

(Away)
11 Oct
AD Boquinhense
3 : 0
Riachao
05 Oct
Riachao
0 : 3
Estanciano EC
02 Oct
CS Maruinense
1 : 0
Riachao
28 Sept
Riachao
2 : 2
Botafogo ASF
21 Sept
Amadense
3 : 0
Riachao
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SE 8 7 0 1 13:1 21
2 Atletico Central 8 6 0 2 17:7 18
3 Aracaju FC 8 5 0 3 14:10 15
4 CS Maruinense 8 1 1 6 5:13 4
5 Socorro 8 0 1 7 1:19 1
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desportiva Aracaju 8 7 1 0 16:4 22
2 Barra SE 8 6 1 1 19:4 19
3 Santa Cruz SE 8 3 0 5 12:15 9
4 Cotinguiba 8 1 1 6 7:14 4
5 Socorrense 8 1 1 6 1:18 4
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America de Pedrinhas 8 6 0 2 20:9 18
2 Independente SE 8 3 4 1 12:11 13
3 Riachao 8 3 3 2 11:7 12
4 Amadense 8 3 1 4 15:18 10
5 AD Boquinhense 8 0 2 6 5:18 2
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Frei Paulistano 8 6 1 1 21:3 19
2 Boca Junior 8 5 1 2 14:8 16
3 Estanciano EC 8 3 1 4 11:12 10
4 Sete de Junho 8 2 1 5 6:15 7
5 Botafogo ASF 8 1 2 5 3:17 5
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarany SE 8 6 1 1 23:6 19
2 Caninde 8 5 1 2 14:10 16
3 Forca Jovem Aquidaba 8 4 0 4 16:10 12
4 Propria 8 2 3 3 11:14 9
5 Coritiba SE 8 0 1 7 6:30 1
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)