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America de Propria vs Sergipe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Wesley Ceifador
72' Event
Juliano Fabro
80' Event
Lucas Mineiro

AI Match Summary

The Sergipano game between America de Propria and Sergipe finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
America de Propria
20%
Draws
80%
Sergipe
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sergipe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sergipe come out ahead of America de Propria on wins alone.
  • Sergipe are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Sergipano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
America de Propria Clean Sheet 10%
Sergipe Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America de Propria Sergipe
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 14
Draws 11 9
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.98
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Sergipano
Sergipe vs America de Propria
2:1
Feb 26, 2026 Sergipano
America de Propria vs Sergipe
1:1
Jan 11, 2026 Sergipano
America de Propria vs Sergipe
2:2
Mar 1, 2025 Sergipano
Sergipe vs America de Propria
0:1
Jan 21, 2024 Sergipano
Sergipe vs America de Propria
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

America de Propria Compare

Top Goalscorer Wesley Ceifador
1 Goals
Assists Leader Elias
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Sergipe Compare

Top Goalscorer Juliano Fabro
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lucas Mineiro
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.8
Avg xA / game 1.1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America de Propria 22 / 100
Sergipe 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America de Propria Sergipe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sergipe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

America de Propria found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Sergipe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Sergipe's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

America de Propria VS Sergipe
0.83 Goals Scored 1.63
2.33 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

America de Propria

(Home)
13 Aug
Falcon
1 : 0
America de Propria
08 Aug
America de Propria
2 : 3
Guarany SE
05 Aug
America de Propria
1 : 5
Atletico Gloriense
01 Aug
Desportiva Aracaju
3 : 2
America de Propria
29 Jul
America de Propria
0 : 1
Lagarto
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Sergipe

(Away)
27 Jun
Sergipe
0 : 1
ASA
21 Jun
ASA
1 : 1
Sergipe
14 Jun
Sergipe
1 : 1
Serra Branca
31 May
Decisao
3 : 2
Sergipe
23 May
Sergipe
0 : 1
Treze PB
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sergipe 9 6 2 1 13:6 20
2 Itabaiana 9 5 2 2 12:4 17
3 Lagarto 9 4 4 1 16:8 16
4 Confianca 9 4 3 2 10:6 15
5 Guarany SE 9 3 3 3 10:10 12
6 America de Propria 9 2 6 1 8:8 12
7 Falcon 9 3 2 4 8:10 11
8 Atletico Gloriense 9 3 1 5 14:13 10
9 Dorense 9 2 1 6 9:23 7
10 Desportiva Aracaju 9 0 2 7 5:17 2
Promotion - Sergipano (Play Offs)
Promotion - Sergipano (Play Offs)