Sport Picks

Ecuador

Serie B 2021 Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa

America de Quito

4 - 1

Atletico Porteno

Our Tip

Match Events

15'

Lugo J.

44'

Arteaga M.

81'

Espindola M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

America de Quito in this Serie B 2021 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored America de Quito.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

America de Quito

Draws

Atletico Porteno

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: America de Quito

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

America de Quito have won more games recently than Atletico Porteno.
America de Quito are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Regular Serie B 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 50%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%

America de Quito Clean Sheet 68%

Atletico Porteno Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	America de Quito	Atletico Porteno
Matches Played	33	30
Wins	11	10
Draws	9	4
Losses	13	16
Goals Scored	1	0
Goals Conceded	2	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2021 Serie B

America de Quito vs Atletico Porteno

Possession: 60% - 48% Cards: 0 - 2

4:1

Jul 15, 2021 Serie B

Atletico Porteno vs America de Quito

Possession: 42% - 58% Cards: 0 - 2

2:1

Jun 4, 2021 Serie B

America de Quito vs Atletico Porteno

Possession: 45% - 49% Cards: 3 - 0

2:2

Mar 30, 2021 Serie B

Atletico Porteno vs America de Quito

Possession: 51% - 51% Cards: 0 - 3

0:0

Oct 25, 2020 Serie B

Atletico Porteno vs America de Quito

Possession: 58% - 49% Cards: 1 - 4

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

America de Quito Compare

Top Goalscorer Lugo J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Arteaga M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Atletico Porteno Compare

Top Goalscorer Quinonez J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America de Quito 95 / 100

Atletico Porteno 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

America de Quito Atletico Porteno

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AME Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

America de Quito's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Atletico Porteno let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: America de Quito remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

America de Quito VS -

1 Goals Scored 0

2 Goals Conceded 0

100% Over 1.5 0%

50% Over 2.5 0%

38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cumbaya	36	20	7	9	47:36	67
2	Gualaceo	36	17	9	10	46:31	60
3	EL Nacional	36	16	11	9	49:36	59
4	Chacaritas	36	12	13	11	35:34	49
5	America de Quito	36	10	17	9	41:33	47
6	Buhos ULVR	36	14	5	17	41:53	47
7	Independiente Juniors	36	11	10	15	45:46	43
8	Atletico Santo Domingo	36	10	12	14	37:44	42
9	Atletico Porteno	36	11	6	19	46:64	39
10	LDU Portoviejo	36	9	10	17	42:52	37