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Stadium Background

America de Quito vs Chacaritas

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B 2023 Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Guayasamin J.
57' Event
Velasco K.
68' Event
Arteaga M.

AI Match Summary

America de Quito in this Serie B 2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored America de Quito.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
America de Quito
6%
Draws
4%
Chacaritas
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: America de Quito

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • America de Quito have won more games recently than Chacaritas.
  • Win probability leans America de Quito's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
America de Quito Clean Sheet 20%
Chacaritas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America de Quito Chacaritas
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 10 6
Draws 8 13
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 0 0.88
Goals Conceded 0 2.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2023 Serie B
America de Quito vs Chacaritas
3:1
Jul 8, 2023 Serie B
Chacaritas vs America de Quito
1:1
Jun 24, 2023 Serie B
America de Quito vs Chacaritas
2:3
May 3, 2023 Serie B
Chacaritas vs America de Quito
1:2
Sep 24, 2022 Serie B
Chacaritas vs America de Quito
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

America de Quito Compare

Top Goalscorer Guayasamin J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arteaga M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Chacaritas Compare

Top Goalscorer Velasco K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America de Quito 85 / 100
Chacaritas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America de Quito Chacaritas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AME Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

America de Quito found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Chacaritas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 37 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: America de Quito stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Chacaritas
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 2.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Macara361810847:3464
2Imbabura361513858:4358
3Vinotinto361413954:3955
4Manta3614101239:3752
5Independiente Juniors3613121140:4051
6Nueve de Octubre361281648:4844
7Vargas Torres3610141227:3444
8Chacaritas361271744:4743
9America de Quito3611101546:5843
10Buhos ULVR365151630:5330