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America de Quito vs Olmedo

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B 2022 Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa
Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event
Flor F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B 2022 game between America de Quito and Olmedo finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward America de Quito.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
America de Quito
6%
Draws
4%
Olmedo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: America de Quito

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • America de Quito has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Olmedo.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for America de Quito.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Serie B 2022 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
America de Quito Clean Sheet 68%
Olmedo Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America de Quito Olmedo
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 9 8
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 0.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2022 Serie B
America de Quito vs Olmedo
1:0
Aug 28, 2022 Serie B
Olmedo vs America de Quito
0:2
May 27, 2022 Serie B
America de Quito vs Olmedo
0:0
Mar 31, 2022 Serie B
Olmedo vs America de Quito
1:1
Jul 16, 2019 Liga Pro
America de Quito vs Olmedo
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

America de Quito Compare

Top Goalscorer Flor F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Olmedo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America de Quito 95 / 100
Olmedo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America de Quito Olmedo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AME Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

America de Quito scored in 82% of their last 33 games.

Olmedo let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

America de Quito went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Olmedo lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

America de Quito VS Olmedo
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1EL Nacional36189954:3763
2Independiente Juniors3615111044:3356
3Libertad3615111042:3856
4America de Quito361315841:3154
5Imbabura361381547:5147
6Chacaritas3611101530:3843
7Buhos ULVR369151233:3842
8Manta3610121429:3942
9Atletico Santo Domingo369121531:3639
10Olmedo3610111533:4338