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America des Cayes vs Baltimore - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Haiti Haiti

Championnat National 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

America des Cayes in this Championnat National 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored America des Cayes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
America des Cayes
30%
Draws
47%
Baltimore
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Baltimore

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • America des Cayes have won more games recently than Baltimore.
  • Baltimore are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
America des Cayes Clean Sheet 20%
Baltimore Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America des Cayes Baltimore
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 12 9
Draws 11 11
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.17 0.7
Goals Conceded 0.77 0.56
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2024 Championnat National
America des Cayes vs Baltimore
1:0
May 20, 2021 Championnat National
Baltimore vs America des Cayes
3:1
Sep 6, 2020 Championnat National
America des Cayes vs Baltimore
2:0
Oct 20, 2019 Championnat National
America des Cayes vs Baltimore
0:0
Apr 14, 2019 Championnat National
Baltimore vs America des Cayes
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America des Cayes 28 / 100
Baltimore 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America des Cayes Baltimore

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baltimore Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: America des Cayes scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

America des Cayes has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Baltimore conceded in 50% of 26 recent games.

Scoring Trends

America des Cayes VS Baltimore
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.25
63% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

America des Cayes

(Home)
28 May
Violette
2 : 0
America des Cayes
25 May
America des Cayes
1 : 1
Juventus
22 May
Don Bosco
1 : 1
America des Cayes
17 May
America des Cayes
0 : 2
Juventus
14 May
Cavaly
0 : 1
America des Cayes
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Baltimore

(Away)
26 Jul
Baltimore
:
Helenites
11 May
Baltimore
2 : 0
Tempete
04 May
Triomphe Liancourt
0 : 1
Baltimore
27 Apr
Tempete
0 : 0
Baltimore
20 Apr
Baltimore
2 : 1
Triomphe Liancourt
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Hope 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Tempete 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
3 Cavaly 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
Promotion - Championnat National 2024 (Serie de Ouverture - Play Offs)
Promotion - Championnat National 2024 (Serie de Ouverture - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ouanaminthe 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
2 America des Cayes 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Baltimore 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Championnat National 2024 (Serie de Ouverture - Play Offs)
Promotion - Championnat National 2024 (Serie de Ouverture - Play Offs)