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America GO vs Novo Horizonte

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Goiano 2 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Novo Horizonte in this Goiano 2 2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Novo Horizonte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
America GO
30%
Draws
23%
Novo Horizonte
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: America GO

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Novo Horizonte haven't matched America GO's recent run of results.
  • America GO are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
America GO Clean Sheet 16%
Novo Horizonte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America GO Novo Horizonte
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 13 10
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2018 Goiano 2
Novo Horizonte vs America GO
0:0
Aug 9, 2018 Goiano 2
America GO vs Novo Horizonte
2:4
Jul 2, 2017 Goiano 2
Novo Horizonte vs America GO
1:1
Jun 4, 2017 Goiano 2
America GO vs Novo Horizonte
1:2
Aug 21, 2016 Goiano 2
Novo Horizonte vs America GO
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America GO 84 / 100
Novo Horizonte 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America GO Novo Horizonte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick America GO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Novo Horizonte's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

America GO went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Novo Horizonte has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

America GO VS Novo Horizonte
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

America GO

(Home)
15 Nov
Mineiros
1 : 0
America GO
08 Nov
America GO
0 : 0
Sao Luis
31 Oct
Guanabara City
1 : 3
America GO
25 Oct
America GO
1 : 1
Santa Helena
18 Oct
Bom Jesus
1 : 1
America GO
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Novo Horizonte

(Away)
29 Oct
Novo Horizonte
0 : 3
Sapucaiense
24 Oct
Igrejinha
5 : 0
Novo Horizonte
18 Oct
Gramadense
3 : 1
Novo Horizonte
09 Oct
Novo Horizonte
0 : 2
Gramadense
04 Oct
Sapucaiense
1 : 2
Novo Horizonte
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Goiania 8 6 0 2 13:3 18
2 Trindade 8 6 0 2 10:5 18
3 Associacao Esportiva Evangelica (ASEEV) 8 3 1 4 6:11 10
4 Santa Helena 8 3 0 5 9:10 9
5 Aparecida EC 8 1 1 6 5:14 4
Promotion - Goiano 2 2017 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Anapolina 8 5 2 1 15:5 17
2 Gremio Anapolis 8 5 1 2 19:14 16
3 Novo Horizonte 8 4 3 1 14:10 15
4 America GO 8 2 2 4 9:9 8
5 Monte Cristo 8 0 0 8 3:22 0
Promotion - Goiano 2 2017 (Play Offs)