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America MG U17 vs Gremio U17

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro U17
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AI Match Summary

The Brasileiro U17 game between America MG U17 and Gremio U17 finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward America MG U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
America MG U17
15%
Draws
0%
Gremio U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: America MG U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gremio U17 come out ahead of America MG U17 on wins alone.
  • America MG U17 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Gremio U17 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
America MG U17 Clean Sheet 20%
Gremio U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America MG U17 Gremio U17
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 10
Draws 6 2
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 1.3 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.73 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2026 Brasileiro U17
America MG U17 vs Gremio U17
4:0
Jun 4, 2025 Brasileiro U17
Gremio U17 vs America MG U17
5:2
Jul 24, 2024 Brasileiro U17
America MG U17 vs Gremio U17
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America MG U17 85 / 100
Gremio U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America MG U17 Gremio U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick America MG U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gremio U17 let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Gremio U17 registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

America MG U17 found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

America MG U17 VS Gremio U17
1 Goals Scored 0.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

America MG U17

(Home)
30 Sept
Flamengo RJ U17
1 : 0
America MG U17
22 Sept
America MG U17
4 : 0
Gremio U17
15 Sept
Cruzeiro U17
3 : 0
America MG U17
09 Sept
America MG U17
1 : 3
Fluminense U17
05 Sept
Vitoria U17
3 : 2
America MG U17
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Gremio U17

(Away)
30 Sept
Gremio U17
0 : 2
Sao Paulo U17
22 Sept
America MG U17
4 : 0
Gremio U17
15 Sept
Flamengo RJ U17
3 : 1
Gremio U17
09 Sept
Gremio U17
1 : 2
Palmeiras U17
05 Sept
Vasco U17
4 : 0
Gremio U17
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeiras U17 19 14 2 3 56:26 44
2 Corinthians U17 19 12 3 4 58:20 39
3 Bragantino U17 19 12 3 4 55:26 39
4 Fluminense U17 19 11 4 4 35:16 37
5 Cruzeiro U17 19 11 4 4 34:25 37
6 Fortaleza U17 19 10 3 6 29:33 33
7 Flamengo RJ U17 19 9 6 4 37:22 33
8 Atletico-MG U17 19 9 5 5 41:24 32
9 Santos U17 19 9 3 7 35:33 30
10 Sao Paulo U17 19 7 9 3 26:18 30
11 Athletico-PR U17 19 8 5 6 35:31 29
12 Botafogo RJ U17 19 7 4 8 37:43 25
13 Internacional U17 19 7 2 10 22:33 23
14 Vasco U17 19 6 5 8 29:27 23
15 Bahia U17 19 5 6 8 30:33 21
16 America MG U17 19 5 4 10 30:27 19
17 EC Juventude U17 19 4 4 11 18:49 16
18 Vitoria U17 19 3 1 15 19:46 10
19 Gremio U17 19 3 1 15 15:52 10
20 Atletico GO U17 19 1 0 18 16:73 3
Promotion - Brasileiro U17 (Play Offs)