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America MG U20 vs Itabirito U20

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro U20
America MG U20 Logo

America MG U20

2 - 0
FT
Itabirito U20 Logo

Itabirito U20

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Enrico
90' Event
Italo G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro U20 game between America MG U20 and Itabirito U20 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward America MG U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

74%
America MG U20
20%
Draws
6%
Itabirito U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: America MG U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Itabirito U20 haven't matched America MG U20's recent run of results.
  • Model gives America MG U20 a 74% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Mineiro U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors America MG U20 here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
America MG U20 Clean Sheet 16%
Itabirito U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America MG U20 Itabirito U20
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.71 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 Mineiro U20
America MG U20 vs Itabirito U20
4:1
Sep 19, 2026 Mineiro U20
Itabirito U20 vs America MG U20
2:2
May 24, 2026 Mineiro U20
America MG U20 vs Itabirito U20
2:0
Jul 19, 2025 Mineiro U20
America MG U20 vs Itabirito U20
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

America MG U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Enrico
1 Goals
Assists Leader Italo G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Itabirito U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America MG U20 84 / 100
Itabirito U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America MG U20 Itabirito U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick America MG U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

America MG U20's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Itabirito U20 has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

America MG U20 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

America MG U20 VS Itabirito U20
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

America MG U20

(Home)
02 Oct
America MG U20
4 : 1
Itabirito U20
19 Sept
Itabirito U20
2 : 2
America MG U20
13 Sept
America MG U20
4 : 1
Atletico-MG U20
29 Aug
Nacional de Muriae U20
1 : 4
America MG U20
21 Aug
Coimbra Sports U20
0 : 1
America MG U20
Page 1 of 7

Itabirito U20

(Away)
02 Oct
America MG U20
4 : 1
Itabirito U20
19 Sept
Itabirito U20
2 : 2
America MG U20
12 Sept
Nacional de Muriae U20
2 : 0
Itabirito U20
28 Aug
Itabirito U20
0 : 1
Coimbra Sports U20
21 Aug
Boston City U20
3 : 2
Itabirito U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico-MG U20 10 8 0 2 35:7 24
2 Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 10 7 1 2 21:13 22
3 Athletic Club U20 10 6 1 3 20:11 19
4 Nacional de Muriae U20 10 5 4 1 16:10 19
5 Itabirito U20 10 5 2 3 12:13 17
6 America MG U20 10 5 1 4 23:13 16
7 Betim FC U20 10 4 3 3 14:18 15
8 Coimbra Sports U20 10 4 2 4 7:7 14
9 Boston City U20 10 4 2 4 12:16 14
10 Social U20 10 3 3 4 15:17 12
11 Inter de Minas U20 10 3 3 4 10:15 12
12 Sao Joao del Rei U20 10 1 6 3 11:13 9
13 Villa Real U20 10 1 4 5 4:14 7
14 Minas Boca U20 10 1 3 6 8:26 6
15 Uberabinha U20 10 0 1 9 5:20 1
Promotion - Mineiro U20 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Mineiro U20 (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 10 7 1 2 21:13 22
2 Itabirito U20 10 5 2 3 12:13 17
3 Coimbra Sports U20 10 4 2 4 7:7 14
4 Social U20 10 3 3 4 15:17 12
5 Sao Joao del Rei U20 10 1 6 3 11:13 9
Promotion - Mineiro U20 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Mineiro U20 (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Athletic Club U20 10 6 1 3 20:11 19
2 America MG U20 10 5 1 4 23:13 16
3 Villa Real U20 10 1 4 5 4:14 7
4 Minas Boca U20 10 1 3 6 8:26 6
5 Uberabinha U20 10 0 1 9 5:20 1
Promotion - Mineiro U20 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Mineiro U20 (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico-MG U20 10 8 0 2 35:7 24
2 Nacional de Muriae U20 10 5 4 1 16:10 19
3 Betim FC U20 10 4 3 3 14:18 15
4 Boston City U20 10 4 2 4 12:16 14
5 Inter de Minas U20 10 3 3 4 10:15 12
Promotion - Mineiro U20 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Mineiro U20 (Losers stage)