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America MG vs Operario-PR - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Mineirão, Belo Horizonte
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
09:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

America MG host Operario-PR in the Serie B. Operario-PR are expected to control this from the start. Recent numbers: America MG at 0.76 goals for, 1.66 against; Operario-PR at 1.5 for, 1.57 against. Past meetings favor Operario-PR slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 27, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Operario-PR to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
America MG
20%
Draws
80%
Operario-PR
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Operario-PR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Operario-PR carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
America MG Clean Sheet 20%
Operario-PR Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America MG Operario-PR
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 5 11
Draws 3 6
Losses 21 11
Goals Scored 0.76 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Serie B
Operario-PR vs America MG
1:0
Sep 7, 2025 Serie B
America MG vs Operario-PR
1:1
May 4, 2025 Serie B
Operario-PR vs America MG
1:0
Oct 24, 2024 Serie B
Operario-PR vs America MG
1:0
Jul 6, 2024 Serie B
America MG vs Operario-PR
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America MG 36 / 100
Operario-PR 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America MG Operario-PR

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Operario-PR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Operario-PR has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

America MG scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Operario-PR lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

America MG VS Operario-PR
0.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

America MG

(Home)
07 Oct
America MG
0 : 1
Fortaleza
03 Oct
Atletico GO
2 : 0
America MG
28 Sept
America MG
0 : 1
EC Juventude
18 Sept
Vila Nova FC
1 : 0
America MG
14 Sept
America MG
0 : 2
Sao Bernardo
Page 1 of 6

Operario-PR

(Away)
07 Oct
Operario-PR
1 : 2
Botafogo SP
02 Oct
EC Juventude
3 : 0
Operario-PR
26 Sept
Operario-PR
2 : 2
Ceara
22 Sept
Criciuma
0 : 2
Operario-PR
15 Sept
Nautico
3 : 3
Operario-PR
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EC Juventude 32 17 8 7 37:19 59
2 Vila Nova FC 32 17 7 8 44:31 58
3 Novorizontino 32 16 9 7 54:27 57
4 Fortaleza 32 15 11 6 37:27 56
5 Criciuma 32 15 8 9 33:28 53
6 Atletico GO 32 14 10 8 40:30 52
7 CRB 32 15 6 11 49:45 51
8 Sport Recife 32 13 11 8 44:34 50
9 Operario-PR 32 13 9 10 44:43 48
10 Cuiaba 32 11 14 7 32:25 47
11 Goias 32 13 6 13 32:40 45
12 Sao Bernardo 32 12 9 11 44:34 45
13 Nautico 32 11 9 12 39:40 42
14 Ceara 32 11 9 12 35:39 42
15 Athletic Club 32 10 12 10 38:37 42
16 Botafogo SP 32 10 8 14 36:38 38
17 Avai 32 9 6 17 32:43 33
18 Londrina 32 7 7 18 40:47 28
19 America MG 32 4 5 23 21:53 17
20 Ponte Preta 32 3 4 25 17:68 13
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)