Sport Picks

Brazil

Copa Sul-Sudeste Mineirão

America MG

2 - 1

Sampaio Correa FE

Our Tip

Match Events

10'

Jesus P.

45'

Yago Santos

46'

Sub

Nunes G. In: Cruz Manhaes O.

Out: Nunes G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Copa Sul-Sudeste game between America MG and Sampaio Correa FE finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward America MG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

America MG

44%

Draws

20%

Sampaio Correa FE

Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Sampaio Correa FE come out ahead of America MG on wins alone.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%

America MG Clean Sheet 20%

Sampaio Correa FE Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	America MG	Sampaio Correa FE
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	5	9
Draws	8	8
Losses	16	12
Goals Scored	0.75	0.63
Goals Conceded	1.75	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 Copa Sul-Sudeste

America MG vs Sampaio Correa FE

Possession: 45% - 56% Cards: 1 - 3

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

America MG Compare

Top Goalscorer Jesus P.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Yago Santos

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Sampaio Correa FE Compare

Top Goalscorer Daniel Nunes

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.57

Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America MG 36 / 100

Sampaio Correa FE 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

America MG Sampaio Correa FE

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAM Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

America MG found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Sampaio Correa FE's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

America MG went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

America MG VS Sampaio Correa FE

0.75 Goals Scored 0.63

1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75

75% Over 1.5 38%

63% Over 2.5 13%

13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Chapecoense-SC	6	4	1	1	8:5	13
2	Novorizontino	6	3	2	1	8:5	11
3	SER Caxias do Sul	6	3	2	1	6:3	11
4	Cianorte	6	2	2	2	9:10	8
5	Tombense	6	1	2	3	11:13	5
6	Sampaio Correa FE	6	1	2	3	7:9	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Avai	6	3	1	2	10:8	10
2	Volta Redonda	6	3	1	2	9:8	10
3	Operario-PR	6	2	3	1	5:4	9
4	America MG	6	2	2	2	11:11	8
5	EC Juventude	6	1	1	4	4:9	4
6	Sao Bernardo	6	0	3	3	6:9	3