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America RJ U20 vs Boavista U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Copa Rio U20 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Bernardo Leles
49' Event
Fonseca D.
53' Event
Camara F.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with America RJ U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
America RJ U20
15%
Draws
37%
Boavista U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: America RJ U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and America RJ U20 come out ahead of Boavista U20 on wins alone.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on America RJ U20 taking it.
  • America RJ U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor America RJ U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
America RJ U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Boavista U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America RJ U20 Boavista U20
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 2 4
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.54 1
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.23
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2025 Copa Rio U20
America RJ U20 vs Boavista U20
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

America RJ U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Fonseca D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Camara F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Boavista U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bernardo Leles
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.68

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America RJ U20 40 / 100
Boavista U20 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America RJ U20 Boavista U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick America RJ U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Boavista U20 has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: America RJ U20 scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: America RJ U20 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

America RJ U20 VS Boavista U20
2 Goals Scored 0.75
1.71 Goals Conceded 2
71% Over 1.5 75%
71% Over 2.5 75%
57% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

America RJ U20

(Home)
10 May
America RJ U20
0 : 1
Vasco U20
02 May
Vasco U20
4 : 1
America RJ U20
17 Apr
America RJ U20
4 : 2
Bangu U20
11 Apr
Bangu U20
1 : 2
America RJ U20
05 Apr
Marica U20
0 : 1
America RJ U20
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Boavista U20

(Away)
03 Oct
Madureira U20
1 : 1
Boavista U20
27 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE U20
3 : 1
Boavista U20
20 Sept
Boavista U20
3 : 2
Nova Iguacu U20
13 Sept
Portuguesa RJ U20
1 : 2
Boavista U20
09 Sept
Vasco U20
2 : 1
Boavista U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo RJ U20 7 6 1 0 15:4 19
2 Vasco U20 7 5 2 0 21:6 17
3 Marica U20 7 5 0 2 10:6 15
4 Boavista U20 7 3 0 4 12:12 9
5 America RJ U20 7 2 2 3 10:11 8
6 Artsul U20 7 2 1 4 9:16 7
7 Americano RJ U20 7 1 0 6 6:14 3
8 Bangu U20 7 0 2 5 6:20 2
Promotion - Copa Rio U20 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Resende U20 7 5 0 2 8:5 15
2 Flamengo RJ U20 7 4 1 2 18:7 13
3 Fluminense U20 7 4 1 2 11:4 13
4 Nova Iguacu U20 7 3 2 2 7:4 11
5 Madureira U20 7 3 2 2 6:6 11
6 Volta Redonda U20 7 3 1 3 7:8 10
7 Portuguesa RJ U20 7 1 2 4 3:13 5
8 Sampaio Correa FE U20 7 0 1 6 5:18 1
Promotion - Copa Rio U20 2025 (Play Offs)