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America RJ U20 vs Vasco U20

Brazil Brazil

Copa Rio U20 Estadio Giulite Coutinho
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

America RJ U20 play Vasco U20 in the Copa Rio U20. It looks like a close match. Recently, America RJ U20 averaged 1.54 goals scored and 1.61 conceded. Vasco U20 averaged 1.83 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. In past meetings, America RJ U20 won 1, Vasco U20 won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 10, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.21 for America RJ U20 and 2.04 for Vasco U20. This points to a Vasco U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
America RJ U20
15%
Draws
47%
Vasco U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vasco U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • America RJ U20 picked up more points recently compared to Vasco U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.21 vs 2.04 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
America RJ U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Vasco U20 Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America RJ U20 Vasco U20
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 14 18
Draws 2 4
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.54 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.61 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.33 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Copa Rio U20
America RJ U20 vs Vasco U20
0:1
May 2, 2026 Copa Rio U20
Vasco U20 vs America RJ U20
4:1
Mar 28, 2026 Copa Rio U20
America RJ U20 vs Vasco U20
3:2
Mar 22, 2025 Copa Rio U20
America RJ U20 vs Vasco U20
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

America RJ U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Vasco U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gustavo Guimaraes
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America RJ U20 36 / 100
Vasco U20 45 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America RJ U20 Vasco U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Vasco U20 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

America RJ U20 attacking → ← attacking Vasco U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

America RJ U20 scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Vasco U20 let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

America RJ U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Vasco U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 58
1.67 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
2.33 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75