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America RJ U20 vs Vasco U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa Rio U20 Estadio Giulite Coutinho, Rio de Janeiro
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Gustavo Guimaraes
76'
Alison
76'
Alison

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
America RJ U20
15%
Draws
50%
Vasco U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vasco U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Vasco U20 have won more games recently than America RJ U20.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Vasco U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Vasco U20, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
America RJ U20 Clean Sheet 19%
Vasco U20 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America RJ U20 Vasco U20
Matches Played 28 39
Wins 14 25
Draws 2 5
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.54 2.08
Goals Conceded 1.61 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Copa Rio U20
America RJ U20 vs Vasco U20
0:1
May 2, 2026 Copa Rio U20
Vasco U20 vs America RJ U20
4:1
Mar 28, 2026 Copa Rio U20
America RJ U20 vs Vasco U20
3:2
Mar 22, 2025 Copa Rio U20
America RJ U20 vs Vasco U20
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

America RJ U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Vasco U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gustavo Guimaraes
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America RJ U20 32 / 100
Vasco U20 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America RJ U20 Vasco U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vasco U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: America RJ U20 scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Vasco U20 has conceded goals in 64% of their last 39 outings.

America RJ U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vasco U20
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

America RJ U20

(Home)
10 May
America RJ U20
0 : 1
Vasco U20
02 May
Vasco U20
4 : 1
America RJ U20
17 Apr
America RJ U20
4 : 2
Bangu U20
11 Apr
Bangu U20
1 : 2
America RJ U20
05 Apr
Marica U20
0 : 1
America RJ U20
Page 1 of 6

Vasco U20

(Away)
03 Oct
Fluminense U20
1 : 1
Vasco U20
30 Sept
Madureira U20
0 : 1
Vasco U20
26 Sept
Vasco U20
3 : 0
Botafogo RJ U20
19 Sept
Volta Redonda U20
1 : 2
Vasco U20
17 Sept
Vasco U20
11 : 0
Rio Branco ES U20
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
America RJ U20 6
Bangu U20 3
Fluminense U20 0
Vasco U20 2
Final
America RJ U20 1
Vasco U20 5