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America RJ vs Audax RJ

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Fabinho Polhao
87'
Matheus Alves

AI Match Summary

Audax RJ in this Carioca 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Audax RJ.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
America RJ
6%
Draws
4%
Audax RJ
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: America RJ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • America RJ have won more games recently than Audax RJ.
  • America RJ are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Carioca 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
America RJ Clean Sheet 68%
Audax RJ Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America RJ Audax RJ
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Carioca 2
Audax RJ vs America RJ
0:3
Aug 13, 2025 Copa Rio
Audax RJ vs America RJ
0:2
Jul 30, 2025 Copa Rio
America RJ vs Audax RJ
0:0
Jun 21, 2025 Carioca 2
America RJ vs Audax RJ
0:1
Jul 17, 2024 Carioca 2
Audax RJ vs America RJ
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

America RJ Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Audax RJ Compare

Top Goalscorer Fabinho Polhao
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America RJ 95 / 100
Audax RJ 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America RJ Audax RJ

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AME Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Audax RJ's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Difficult form: Audax RJ registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: America RJ scored in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

America RJ VS Audax RJ
1 Goals Scored 0.8
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.4
50% Over 1.5 60%
38% Over 2.5 40%
13% Over 3.5 20%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sao Goncalo1154213:819
2Bangu1144311:816
3CEAC/Araruama114438:916
4Olaria1143414:1015
5Resende114348:1015
6America RJ113537:714
7Cabofriense113539:1014
8Perolas Negras1134410:1013
9Americano1144313:1012
10Audax RJ1133511:1512
11Duque de Caxias113358:1212
12Goncalense112639:1212