Sport Picks
America RJ vs Cabofriense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Copa Rio 2025 
Match Events
8'
8'
Renna
38'
38'
Wendson
49'
49'
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-2. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
35%
19%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: America RJ
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- America RJ carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans America RJ's way, sitting at 70%.
- America RJ have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor America RJ, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
America RJ Clean Sheet 68%
Cabofriense Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | America RJ | Cabofriense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 7 |
| Draws | 9 | 12 |
| Losses | 13 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.15 | 0.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.16 | 0.79 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 10, 2026 Carioca 2
America RJ vs Cabofriense
2:1
Aug 27, 2025 Copa Rio
America RJ vs Cabofriense
2:2
Aug 20, 2025 Copa Rio
Cabofriense vs America RJ
0:3
May 17, 2025 Carioca 2
America RJ vs Cabofriense
1:1
May 26, 2024 Carioca 2
Cabofriense vs America RJ
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
America RJ Compare
Top Goalscorer Renna
1 Goals Assists Leader Matheus Iacovelli
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.89
Avg xA / game 0.58
Cabofriense Compare
Top Goalscorer Wendson
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.44
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
America RJ 77 / 100
Cabofriense 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
America RJ Cabofriense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick America RJ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
America RJ found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (31 games).
Cabofriense let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
America RJ has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
America RJ VS Cabofriense
0.75 Goals Scored 0.71
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.57
50% Over 1.5 71%
25% Over 2.5 57%
13% Over 3.5 14%
Recent Form & Match History
America RJ
(Home) 22 Jul
Nova Iguacu
1 : 1 America RJ
18 Jul
Americano
4 : 1 America RJ
15 Jul
America RJ
0 : 1 Nova Iguacu
11 Jul
America RJ
0 : 0 Americano
04 Jul
America RJ
5 : 0 Serrano FC
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15 Jul
America RJ
0 : 1 Nova Iguacu
11 Jul
America RJ
0 : 0 Americano
04 Jul
America RJ
5 : 0 Serrano FC
24 Jun
America RJ
0 : 1 CEAC/Araruama
24 Jun
America RJ
: Goytacaz
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Cabofriense
(Away) 04 Jul
CEAC/Araruama
1 : 1 Cabofriense
27 Jun
Cabofriense
1 : 2 Perolas Negras
23 Jun
Cabofriense
0 : 0 Bonsucesso
20 Jun
Olaria
1 : 0 Cabofriense
17 Jun
Bonsucesso
3 : 1 Cabofriense
Page 1 of 6
04 Jul
CEAC/Araruama
1 : 1 Cabofriense
20 Jun
Olaria
1 : 0 Cabofriense
17 Jun
Bonsucesso
3 : 1 Cabofriense
10 Jun
America RJ
2 : 1 Cabofriense
23 May
Sao Goncalo
0 : 2 Cabofriense
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
CEAC/Araruama 3
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Olaria 0
Nova Iguacu 1
Cabofriense 2
Boavista 1
America RJ 2
Audax RJ 0
Goncalense 0
Marica 3
Duque de Caxias 1
Madureira 2
Campo Grande 0
Bangu 3
Resende 2
Portuguesa RJ 3
Quarter-finals
CEAC/Araruama 3
Nova Iguacu 2
Cabofriense 2
America RJ 5
Marica 6
Madureira 1
Bangu 0
Portuguesa RJ 1
Semi-finals
CEAC/Araruama 0
America RJ 1
Marica 1
Portuguesa RJ 3
Final
America RJ 1
Portuguesa RJ 2
