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America RN vs Potiguar de Mossoró

Brazil Brazil

Potiguar Arena das Dunas
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Mateus
45' Event
Ricardo Lopes
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Potiguar game between America RN and Potiguar de Mossoró finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
America RN
6%
Draws
4%
Potiguar de Mossoró
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: America RN

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Potiguar de Mossoró haven't matched America RN's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans America RN's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
America RN Clean Sheet 68%
Potiguar de Mossoró Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America RN Potiguar de Mossoró
Matches Played 46 33
Wins 30 13
Draws 11 8
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 0.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Potiguar
America RN vs Potiguar de Mossoró
1:1
Mar 7, 2026 Potiguar
Potiguar de Mossoró vs America RN
1:3
Feb 4, 2026 Potiguar
Potiguar de Mossoró vs America RN
0:0
Feb 1, 2025 Potiguar
Potiguar de Mossoró vs America RN
0:1
Jul 3, 2024 Serie D
Potiguar de Mossoró vs America RN
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

America RN Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Potiguar de Mossoró Compare

Top Goalscorer Mateus
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America RN 95 / 100
Potiguar de Mossoró 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America RN Potiguar de Mossoró

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

America RN scored in 80% of their last 46 games.

Solid form: America RN remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Potiguar de Mossoró's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 33 matches.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

America RN VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
America RN-
TBD-
Potiguar de Mossoró1
Laguna RN0
ABC-
TBD-
QFC3
Santa Cruz de Natal1
Semi-finals
America RN4
Potiguar de Mossoró2
ABC6
QFC2
Final
America RN3
ABC2