Sport Picks
Match Events
45'
45'
Gabriel Lira
67'
67'
Fernando J. S.
69'
69'
Aislan
AI Match Summary
America SP in this Paulista B matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored America SP.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
35%
20%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: America SP
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- America SP have won more games recently than Assisense.
- Model gives America SP a 45% chance of winning this.
- Regular Paulista B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
America SP Clean Sheet 20%
Assisense Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | America SP | Assisense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 11 | 10 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.59 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 22, 2026 Paulista B
Assisense vs America SP
1:1
Apr 18, 2026 Paulista B
America SP vs Assisense
1:0
Jun 18, 2017 Paulista A4
Assisense vs America SP
1:2
Apr 29, 2017 Paulista A4
America SP vs Assisense
4:1
Aug 16, 2015 Paulista A4
America SP vs Assisense
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
America SP Compare
Top Goalscorer Gabriel Lira
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.22
Avg xA / game 0.8
Assisense Compare
Avg xG / game 0.94
Avg xA / game 0.57
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
America SP 85 / 100
Assisense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
America SP Assisense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AME Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Assisense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.
America SP went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
America SP found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
America SP VS Assisense
1.75 Goals Scored 1.43
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.43
88% Over 1.5 57%
38% Over 2.5 29%
25% Over 3.5 29%
Recent Form & Match History
America SP
(Home) 09 Aug
America SP
2 : 0 Independente SP
02 Aug
Itaqua
0 : 3 America SP
26 Jul
America SP
1 : 1 Itaqua
19 Jul
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 4 America SP
11 Jul
America SP
0 : 0 Jose Bonifacio EC
Page 1 of 6
09 Aug
America SP
2 : 0 Independente SP
26 Jul
America SP
1 : 1 Itaqua
11 Jul
America SP
0 : 0 Jose Bonifacio EC
04 Jul
America SP
3 : 0 Santacruzense
20 Jun
America SP
1 : 1 Jose Bonifacio EC
Page 1 of 3
Assisense
(Away) 04 Jul
Matonense
0 : 0 Assisense
27 Jun
Assisense
0 : 1 Matonense
20 Jun
Assisense
4 : 4 Riopretano
14 Jun
Jose Bonifacio EC
1 : 0 Assisense
05 Jun
Assisense
4 : 2 Santa Fe SP
Page 1 of 6
04 Jul
Matonense
0 : 0 Assisense
14 Jun
Jose Bonifacio EC
1 : 0 Assisense
30 May
Tupa
1 : 1 Assisense
17 May
Riopretano
1 : 1 Assisense
01 May
Santa Fe SP
0 : 1 Assisense
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jose Bonifacio EC | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 17:6 | 22 |
| 2 | America SP | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 13:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Assisense | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 17:15 | 14 |
| 4 | Tupa | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 5 | Riopretano | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9:16 | 7 |
| 6 | Santa Fe SP | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10:20 | 6 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independente SP | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 37:7 | 24 |
| 2 | Matonense | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 28:10 | 22 |
| 3 | Sao Carlos | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19:11 | 15 |
| 4 | Santacruzense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19:13 | 14 |
| 5 | Mogi Mirim | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 6 | Catanduvense | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4:66 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo SP | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 23 |
| 2 | Paulinense | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 9:16 | 15 |
| 3 | Audax-SP | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15:9 | 13 |
| 4 | Paulinia FU | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:14 | 10 |
| 5 | Votoraty SP | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:19 | 7 |
| 6 | Guarulhos | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Itaqua | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21:6 | 25 |
| 2 | Maua FC | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 20:15 | 16 |
| 3 | Uniao Mogi | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 4 | Manthiqueira | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:17 | 14 |
| 5 | Mauaense | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 6 | Barcelona SP | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5:26 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
