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America SP vs Penapolense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2022
America SP Logo

America SP

0 - 0
FT
Penapolense Logo

Penapolense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Paulista A4 2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
America SP
35%
Draws
31%
Penapolense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Penapolense lately — more wins on the board than America SP.
  • Win probability leans America SP's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Paulista A4 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Penapolense have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
America SP Clean Sheet 20%
Penapolense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America SP Penapolense
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 11 15
Draws 11 13
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.19 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2024 Paulista A4
Penapolense vs America SP
2:0
Jun 18, 2022 Paulista A4
America SP vs Penapolense
0:0
May 15, 2022 Paulista A4
Penapolense vs America SP
4:1
Feb 12, 2012 Paulista A2
Penapolense vs America SP
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America SP 40 / 100
Penapolense 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America SP Penapolense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick America SP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

America SP scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

America SP went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Penapolense has conceded goals in 58% of their last 33 outings.

Scoring Trends

America SP VS Penapolense
1.38 Goals Scored 1.67
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.33
75% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

America SP

(Home)
16 Aug
Independente SP
4 : 1
America SP
09 Aug
America SP
2 : 0
Independente SP
02 Aug
Itaqua
0 : 3
America SP
26 Jul
America SP
1 : 1
Itaqua
19 Jul
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 4
America SP
Page 1 of 7

Penapolense

(Away)
09 May
Inter de Bebedouro
1 : 1
Penapolense
06 May
Penapolense
2 : 1
Inter de Bebedouro
02 May
Sao Caetano
2 : 2
Penapolense
25 Apr
Penapolense
2 : 1
Sao Caetano
18 Apr
Penapolense
2 : 2
Taquaritinga
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Penapolense 10 6 3 1 23:6 21
2 Inter de Bebedouro 10 6 3 1 18:6 21
3 Catanduva FC 10 6 2 2 25:11 20
4 Fernandopolis 10 2 2 6 11:22 8
5 America SP 10 2 2 6 14:24 8
6 Andradina Esporte Clube 10 2 0 8 12:34 6
Promotion - Paulista A4 2022 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gremio Prudente 10 7 3 0 17:4 24
2 AA Itarare 10 3 6 1 13:8 15
3 Osvaldo Cruz 10 3 5 2 12:10 14
4 Vocem 10 3 4 3 8:12 13
5 Assisense 10 2 5 3 9:10 11
6 Santacruzense 10 0 1 9 4:19 1
Promotion - Paulista A4 2022 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Taquaritinga 10 7 0 3 17:8 21
2 Sao-Carlense 10 6 2 2 17:5 20
3 XV de Jau 10 5 3 2 16:7 18
4 Francana 10 3 4 3 8:8 13
5 Sao Carlos 10 2 4 4 6:14 10
6 Batatais 10 0 1 9 7:29 1
Promotion - Paulista A4 2022 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itapirense 10 7 2 1 20:10 23
2 Rio Branco SP 10 6 1 3 15:10 19
3 Paulista 10 5 3 2 15:8 18
4 Amparo SP 10 3 3 4 15:12 12
5 Independente SP 10 3 2 5 8:9 11
6 Uniao Sao Joao 10 0 1 9 3:27 1
Promotion - Paulista A4 2022 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manthiqueira 10 6 2 2 26:12 20
2 Jacarei FC 10 6 1 3 25:6 19
3 Flamengo SP 10 5 4 1 18:11 19
4 Uniao Mogi 10 4 2 4 25:12 14
5 Guarulhos 10 2 4 4 11:18 10
6 Atletico Mogi 10 0 1 9 5:51 1
Promotion - Paulista A4 2022 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maua FC 10 5 3 2 12:9 18
2 SKA Brasil 10 5 2 3 19:8 17
3 Colorado Caieiras 10 4 5 1 16:10 17
4 Jabaquara 10 4 3 3 10:10 15
5 Mauaense 10 2 4 4 11:16 10
6 ECUS SP 10 1 1 8 12:27 4
Promotion - Paulista A4 2022 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams