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America SP vs Santa Fe SP

Brazil Brazil

Paulista B
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Edipo

AI Match Summary

America SP in this Paulista B matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored America SP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
America SP
15%
Draws
20%
Santa Fe SP
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: America SP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to America SP lately — more wins on the board than Santa Fe SP.
  • Win probability leans America SP's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
America SP Clean Sheet 20%
Santa Fe SP Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America SP Santa Fe SP
Matches Played 30 10
Wins 10 2
Draws 11 0
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.2 1
Goals Conceded 1.1 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.90 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2026 Paulista B
Santa Fe SP vs America SP
1:3
May 9, 2026 Paulista B
America SP vs Santa Fe SP
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

America SP Compare

Top Goalscorer Edipo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.46
Avg xA / game 0.95

Santa Fe SP Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America SP 85 / 100
Santa Fe SP 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America SP Santa Fe SP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick America SP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Fe SP let in goals in 100% of their last 10 matches.

America SP scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Solid form: America SP remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

America SP VS Santa Fe SP
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.29
75% Over 1.5 86%
25% Over 2.5 71%
25% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

America SP

(Home)
16 Aug
Independente SP
4 : 1
America SP
09 Aug
America SP
2 : 0
Independente SP
02 Aug
Itaqua
0 : 3
America SP
26 Jul
America SP
1 : 1
Itaqua
19 Jul
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 4
America SP
Page 1 of 6

Santa Fe SP

(Away)
20 Jun
Tupa
1 : 2
Santa Fe SP
12 Jun
Santa Fe SP
1 : 3
America SP
05 Jun
Assisense
4 : 2
Santa Fe SP
29 May
Santa Fe SP
0 : 2
Jose Bonifacio EC
24 May
Riopretano
2 : 1
Santa Fe SP
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jose Bonifacio EC 10 6 4 0 17:6 22
2 America SP 10 5 4 1 13:7 19
3 Assisense 10 3 5 2 17:15 14
4 Tupa 10 4 1 5 14:16 13
5 Riopretano 10 1 4 5 9:16 7
6 Santa Fe SP 10 2 0 8 10:20 6
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente SP 10 8 0 2 37:7 24
2 Matonense 10 7 1 2 28:10 22
3 Sao Carlos 10 4 3 3 19:11 15
4 Santacruzense 10 4 2 4 19:13 14
5 Mogi Mirim 10 4 0 6 15:15 12
6 Catanduvense 10 0 0 10 4:66 0
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SP 10 7 2 1 13:6 23
2 Paulinense 10 5 0 5 9:16 15
3 Audax-SP 10 5 1 4 15:9 13
4 Paulinia FU 10 3 1 6 11:14 10
5 Votoraty SP 10 2 1 7 12:19 7
6 Guarulhos 10 5 1 4 19:15 4
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itaqua 10 8 1 1 21:6 25
2 Maua FC 10 4 4 2 20:15 16
3 Uniao Mogi 10 5 2 3 14:13 14
4 Manthiqueira 10 4 2 4 17:17 14
5 Mauaense 10 3 3 4 10:10 12
6 Barcelona SP 10 0 0 10 5:26 0
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)