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America TO vs Pocos de Caldas

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 3 2021 game between America TO and Pocos de Caldas finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward America TO.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
America TO
17%
Draws
13%
Pocos de Caldas
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: America TO

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and America TO come out ahead of Pocos de Caldas on wins alone.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on America TO taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and America TO have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
America TO Clean Sheet 20%
Pocos de Caldas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric America TO Pocos de Caldas
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 22 8
Draws 7 5
Losses 6 17
Goals Scored 1.13 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.75 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 4, 2023 Mineiro 3
America TO vs Pocos de Caldas
2:0
Oct 27, 2023 Mineiro 3
Pocos de Caldas vs America TO
1:3
Nov 28, 2021 Mineiro 3
America TO vs Pocos de Caldas
1:0
Nov 20, 2021 Mineiro 3
Pocos de Caldas vs America TO
1:0
Apr 12, 2009 Mineiro 2
Pocos de Caldas vs America TO
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

America TO 67 / 100
Pocos de Caldas 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
America TO Pocos de Caldas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AME Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: America TO scored in 74% of their last 35 outings.

Pocos de Caldas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

America TO went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

America TO VS Pocos de Caldas
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Uberaba3
Boston City1
Santarritense0
Manchester Futebol1
America TO1
Pocos de Caldas1
Araxa0
Varginha1
Semi-finals
Uberaba3
Manchester Futebol0
America TO0
Varginha2
Final
Uberaba3
Varginha3