Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Mineiro 3 2023 game between America TO and Valeriodoce finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward America TO.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: America TO
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Valeriodoce come out ahead of America TO on wins alone.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Mineiro 3 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
America TO Clean Sheet 20%
Valeriodoce Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | America TO | Valeriodoce |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 50 |
| Wins | 21 | 23 |
| Draws | 6 | 18 |
| Losses | 6 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.42 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.79 | 0.82 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 18, 2023 Mineiro 3
America TO vs Valeriodoce
0:3
Nov 11, 2023 Mineiro 3
Valeriodoce vs America TO
1:3
Oct 8, 2023 Mineiro 3
America TO vs Valeriodoce
1:0
Sep 24, 2023 Mineiro 3
Valeriodoce vs America TO
0:1
Oct 16, 2022 Mineiro 3
Valeriodoce vs America TO
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
America TO 32 / 100
Valeriodoce 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
America TO Valeriodoce
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
America TO scored in 79% of their last 33 games.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
America TO went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Valeriodoce has conceded goals in 54% of their last 50 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Valeriodoce
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
America TO
(Home) 04 Nov
Guarani-MG
3 : 0 America TO
26 Oct
America TO
1 : 0 Guarani-MG
19 Oct
America TO
2 : 0 Social
12 Oct
Boston City
0 : 2 America TO
05 Oct
America TO
0 : 1 Contagem
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26 Oct
America TO
1 : 0 Guarani-MG
19 Oct
America TO
2 : 0 Social
05 Oct
America TO
0 : 1 Contagem
18 Sept
America TO
2 : 0 Boston City
01 Sept
America TO
0 : 2 Coimbra Esporte Clube
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Valeriodoce
(Away) 26 Jul
Valeriodoce
0 : 1 Villa Nova AC
18 Jul
Villa Nova AC
1 : 1 Valeriodoce
12 Jul
Valeriodoce
1 : 0 Villa Nova AC
05 Jul
Coimbra Esporte Clube
0 : 0 Valeriodoce
01 Jul
Valeriodoce
1 : 0 Democrata SL
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18 Jul
Villa Nova AC
1 : 1 Valeriodoce
05 Jul
Coimbra Esporte Clube
0 : 0 Valeriodoce
28 Jun
Aymores
0 : 1 Valeriodoce
20 Jun
Ipatinga
0 : 1 Valeriodoce
13 Jun
Democrata SL
1 : 2 Valeriodoce
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America TO | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 16 |
| 2 | Valeriodoce | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6:4 | 12 |
| 3 | Juventus Minasnovense | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:7 | 7 |
| 4 | Boston City | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:12 | 0 |
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guarani-MG | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10:2 | 15 |
| 2 | Pocos de Caldas | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 10 |
| 3 | Villa Real | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1:4 | 4 |
| 4 | Tres Coracoes | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2:7 | 3 |
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Contagem | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 13 |
| 2 | Coimbra Esporte Clube | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:3 | 11 |
| 3 | Inter de Minas | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 10 |
| 4 | Serranense | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:19 | 0 |
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mamore | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 16:4 | 20 |
| 2 | Araxa | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:6 | 14 |
| 3 | Paracatu | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 4 | Nacional Uberaba | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:9 | 6 |
| 5 | Pirapora | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3:16 | 3 |
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)
