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American Samoa U19 vs Cook Islands U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U19 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Wichman O.
43' Event
Pouli P.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Wichman O.

AI Match Summary

The OFC Championship U19 2024 game between American Samoa U19 and Cook Islands U19 finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cook Islands U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
American Samoa U19
15%
Draws
85%
Cook Islands U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cook Islands U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cook Islands U19 come out ahead of American Samoa U19 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Cook Islands U19's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this OFC Championship U19 2024 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
  • History favors Cook Islands U19 here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
American Samoa U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Cook Islands U19 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric American Samoa U19 Cook Islands U19
Matches Played 14 11
Wins 0 4
Draws 1 1
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 0.5 1.36
Goals Conceded 4.29 2.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2024 OFC Championship U19
American Samoa U19 vs Cook Islands U19
2:3
Sep 13, 2022 OFC Championship U19
American Samoa U19 vs Cook Islands U19
0:4
Jun 2, 2018 OFC Championship U19
Cook Islands U19 vs American Samoa U19
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

American Samoa U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lee D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Cook Islands U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Wichman O.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.85
Avg xA / game 1.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

American Samoa U19 10 / 100
Cook Islands U19 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
American Samoa U19 Cook Islands U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cook Islands U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cook Islands U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 91% of 11 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: American Samoa U19 scored in 29% of their last 14 outings.

Cook Islands U19's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

American Samoa U19 VS Cook Islands U19
0.13 Goals Scored 1.25
5 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

American Samoa U19

(Home)
15 Apr
American Samoa U19
3 : 4
Tonga U19
12 Apr
American Samoa U19
2 : 3
Cook Islands U19
09 Apr
Vanuatu U19
4 : 0
American Samoa U19
13 Sept
American Samoa U19
0 : 4
Cook Islands U19
11 Sept
New Zealand U19
9 : 0
American Samoa U19
Page 1 of 3

Cook Islands U19

(Away)
13 Jun
Papua New Guinea U19
5 : 1
Cook Islands U19
10 Jun
Tonga U19
1 : 4
Cook Islands U19
15 Apr
Cook Islands U19
0 : 2
Vanuatu U19
12 Apr
American Samoa U19
2 : 3
Cook Islands U19
09 Apr
Tonga U19
1 : 1
Cook Islands U19
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vanuatu U19 3 3 0 0 9:0 9
2 Cook Islands U19 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
3 Tonga U19 3 1 1 1 5:7 4
4 American Samoa U19 3 0 0 3 5:11 0
Promotion - OFC Championship U19 2024 (Main)