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American Samoa vs Samoa

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World Cup 2002 Coffs Harbour International Stadium, Coffs Harbour
American Samoa Logo

American Samoa

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Samoa Logo

Samoa

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Samoa in this World Cup 2002 tie, finishing 0-8. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
American Samoa
15%
Draws
57%
Samoa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Samoa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Samoa have won more games recently than American Samoa.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Samoa taking it.
  • Samoa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Samoa, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Samoa here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
American Samoa Clean Sheet 10%
Samoa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric American Samoa Samoa
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 13
Draws 2 1
Losses 24 18
Goals Scored 0.63 1.63
Goals Conceded 6.73 3.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2024 World Championship
American Samoa vs Samoa
0:2
Nov 20, 2023 Pacific Games
American Samoa vs Samoa
0:10
Aug 31, 2015 World Championship
Samoa vs American Samoa
3:2
Nov 27, 2011 World Championship
Samoa vs American Samoa
1:0
Aug 28, 2007 World Championship
American Samoa vs Samoa
0:7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

American Samoa 22 / 100
Samoa 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
American Samoa Samoa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samoa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samoa let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Away concern: Samoa has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: American Samoa scored in 40% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

American Samoa VS Samoa
0.75 Goals Scored 2.5
5.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

American Samoa

(Home)
28 Mar
American Samoa
0 : 6
Guam
25 Mar
United States Virgin Islands
5 : 2
American Samoa
08 Sept
Cook Islands
1 : 2
American Samoa
06 Sept
American Samoa
0 : 2
Samoa
29 Nov
American Samoa
2 : 6
Tonga
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Samoa

(Away)
18 Nov
Samoa
0 : 8
New Zealand
15 Nov
Samoa
0 : 3
Tahiti
12 Oct
Vanuatu
4 : 1
Samoa
09 Sept
Tonga
1 : 2
Samoa
06 Sept
American Samoa
0 : 2
Samoa
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia 4 4 0 0 66:0 12
2 Fiji 4 3 0 1 27:4 9
3 Tonga 4 2 0 2 7:30 6
4 Samoa 4 1 0 3 9:18 3
5 American Samoa 4 0 0 4 0:57 0
Promotion - World Cup 2002 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 New Zealand 4 4 0 0 19:1 12
2 Tahiti 4 3 0 1 14:6 9
3 Solomon Islands 4 2 0 2 17:10 6
4 Vanuatu 4 1 0 3 11:21 3
5 Cook Islands 4 0 0 4 2:25 0
Promotion - World Cup 2002 (Play Offs)