Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Pacific Games game between American Samoa and Samoa finished 0-10, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Samoa.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
22%
28%
50%
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Samoa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Samoa come out ahead of American Samoa on wins alone.
- 50% — that's where the model lands on Samoa taking it.
- Regular Pacific Games form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Samoa here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
American Samoa Clean Sheet 10%
Samoa Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | American Samoa | Samoa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 4 | 13 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 24 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 2.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 5.63 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 2.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 5.63 | 1.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2024 World Championship
American Samoa vs Samoa
0:2
Nov 20, 2023 Pacific Games
American Samoa vs Samoa
0:10
Aug 31, 2015 World Championship
Samoa vs American Samoa
3:2
Nov 27, 2011 World Championship
Samoa vs American Samoa
1:0
Aug 28, 2007 World Championship
American Samoa vs Samoa
0:7
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
American Samoa 22 / 100
Samoa 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
American Samoa Samoa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SAM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Samoa conceded in 81% of 32 recent games.
Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.
Difficult form: Samoa registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: American Samoa scored in 40% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
American Samoa VS Samoa
0.75 Goals Scored 2.5
5.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
American Samoa
(Home) 28 Mar
American Samoa
0 : 6 Guam
25 Mar
United States Virgin Islands
5 : 2 American Samoa
08 Sept
Cook Islands
1 : 2 American Samoa
06 Sept
American Samoa
0 : 2 Samoa
29 Nov
American Samoa
2 : 6 Tonga
Page 1 of 6
28 Mar
American Samoa
0 : 6 Guam
06 Sept
American Samoa
0 : 2 Samoa
29 Nov
American Samoa
2 : 6 Tonga
23 Nov
American Samoa
0 : 11 Solomon Islands
20 Nov
American Samoa
0 : 10 Samoa
Page 1 of 4
Samoa
(Away) 18 Nov
Samoa
0 : 8 New Zealand
15 Nov
Samoa
0 : 3 Tahiti
12 Oct
Vanuatu
4 : 1 Samoa
09 Sept
Tonga
1 : 2 Samoa
06 Sept
American Samoa
0 : 2 Samoa
Page 1 of 7
12 Oct
Vanuatu
4 : 1 Samoa
09 Sept
Tonga
1 : 2 Samoa
06 Sept
American Samoa
0 : 2 Samoa
16 Jun
Tahiti
2 : 0 Samoa
20 Mar
Tonga
1 : 4 Samoa
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Caledonia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15:0 | 6 |
| 2 | Cook Islands | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:9 | 3 |
| 3 | Tonga | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:9 | 0 |
Promotion - Pacific Games (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pacific Games (5th-8th places)
Promotion - Pacific Games (9th-12th places)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vanuatu | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 4 |
| 2 | Papua New Guinea | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 4 |
| 3 | Tuvalu | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:9 | 0 |
Promotion - Pacific Games (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pacific Games (5th-8th places)
Promotion - Pacific Games (9th-12th places)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fiji | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10:0 | 4 |
| 2 | Tahiti | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | 4 |
| 3 | Northern Mariana Islands | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:15 | 0 |
Promotion - Pacific Games (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pacific Games (5th-8th places)
Promotion - Pacific Games (9th-12th places)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Solomon Islands | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12:0 | 6 |
| 2 | Samoa | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10:1 | 3 |
| 3 | American Samoa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:21 | 0 |
Promotion - Pacific Games (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pacific Games (5th-8th places)
Promotion - Pacific Games (9th-12th places)
