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American Samoa W vs Cook Islands W Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

World Cup Women
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Patea M.
36' Event
Manao A.
44' Event
Maafala A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. This leg finished 4-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
American Samoa W
15%
Draws
51%
Cook Islands W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cook Islands W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cook Islands W lately — more wins on the board than American Samoa W.
  • Win probability leans American Samoa W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Cook Islands W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Cook Islands W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
American Samoa W Clean Sheet 10%
Cook Islands W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric American Samoa W Cook Islands W
Matches Played 17 29
Wins 4 8
Draws 1 4
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 0.65 0.9
Goals Conceded 4.71 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 1, 2025 World Cup Women
American Samoa W vs Cook Islands W
4:0
Nov 23, 2023 Pacific Games Women
American Samoa W vs Cook Islands W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

American Samoa W Compare

Top Goalscorer Patea M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Manao A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Cook Islands W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

American Samoa W 83 / 100
Cook Islands W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
American Samoa W Cook Islands W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick American Samoa W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Cook Islands W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

American Samoa W scored in 35% of their last 17 games.

Solid form: American Samoa W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

American Samoa W VS Cook Islands W
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
3.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

American Samoa W

(Home)
11 Apr
Papua New Guinea W
1 : 0
American Samoa W
05 Mar
American Samoa W
0 : 3
New Zealand W
02 Mar
American Samoa W
1 : 0
Samoa W
27 Feb
Solomon Islands W
0 : 1
American Samoa W
21 Feb
Fiji W
2 : 1
American Samoa W
Page 1 of 4

Cook Islands W

(Away)
07 Jun
Cook Islands W
3 : 0
Afghanistan W
03 Jun
Cook Islands W
1 : 0
Afghanistan W
01 Dec
American Samoa W
4 : 0
Cook Islands W
29 Nov
Tahiti W
0 : 1
Cook Islands W
14 Jul
Cook Islands W
0 : 1
Tonga W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Tonga W 0
American Samoa W 3
Tahiti W 0
Cook Islands W 1
Final
American Samoa W 4
Cook Islands W 0