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American Samoa W vs Cook Islands W

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

Pacific Games Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Pacific Games Women game between American Samoa W and Cook Islands W finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cook Islands W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
American Samoa W
15%
Draws
51%
Cook Islands W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cook Islands W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cook Islands W come out ahead of American Samoa W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans American Samoa W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Pacific Games Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
American Samoa W Clean Sheet 10%
Cook Islands W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric American Samoa W Cook Islands W
Matches Played 17 29
Wins 4 8
Draws 1 4
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 0.65 0.9
Goals Conceded 4.71 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 1, 2025 World Cup Women
American Samoa W vs Cook Islands W
4:0
Nov 23, 2023 Pacific Games Women
American Samoa W vs Cook Islands W
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

American Samoa W 83 / 100
Cook Islands W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
American Samoa W Cook Islands W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick American Samoa W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Cook Islands W let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

American Samoa W found the back of the net in 35% of recent matches (17 games).

American Samoa W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

American Samoa W VS Cook Islands W
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
3.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

American Samoa W

(Home)
11 Apr
Papua New Guinea W
1 : 0
American Samoa W
05 Mar
American Samoa W
0 : 3
New Zealand W
02 Mar
American Samoa W
1 : 0
Samoa W
27 Feb
Solomon Islands W
0 : 1
American Samoa W
21 Feb
Fiji W
2 : 1
American Samoa W
Page 1 of 4

Cook Islands W

(Away)
07 Jun
Cook Islands W
3 : 0
Afghanistan W
03 Jun
Cook Islands W
1 : 0
Afghanistan W
01 Dec
American Samoa W
4 : 0
Cook Islands W
29 Nov
Tahiti W
0 : 1
Cook Islands W
14 Jul
Cook Islands W
0 : 1
Tonga W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Papua New Guinea W 3 2 1 0 14:2 7
2 New Caledonia W 3 2 1 0 11:4 7
3 Cook Islands W 3 1 0 2 5:8 3
4 American Samoa W 3 0 0 3 0:16 0
Promotion - Pacific Games Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pacific Games Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pacific Games Women (5th-8th places)
Promotion - Pacific Games Women (5th-8th places)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Samoa W 2 2 0 0 7:3 6
2 Tahiti W 2 0 1 1 4:5 1
3 Tonga W 2 0 1 1 3:6 1
Promotion - Pacific Games Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pacific Games Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pacific Games Women (5th-8th places)
Promotion - Pacific Games Women (5th-8th places)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fiji W 2 2 0 0 7:3 6
2 Solomon Islands W 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
3 Vanuatu W 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
Promotion - Pacific Games Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pacific Games Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pacific Games Women (5th-8th places)
Promotion - Pacific Games Women (5th-8th places)